Trump renames AI by September 30?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Trump renames AI by September 30? the favorite at 34%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

YESalarabytv94%match41¢-17%
Trump calls artificial intelligence by a new name: "superintelligence" #AlArabyToday
YESaxios94%match41¢-17%
Trump wants to rebrand AI as "super intelligence"
YESaxios.com97%match41¢-17%
Trump orders AI rebrand as "super intelligence"
YESbusinessinsider.com94%match41¢-17%
Trump wants to rebrand artificial intelligence. It was almost called these 3 names
YESafp.com97%match41¢-17%
Trump renames AI "super intelligence," rejects international oversight
YESfoxbusiness94%match39¢-13%
Trump rebrands AI, rejects 'globalist scheme' to control tech
YESwashingtonpost.com97%match41¢-17%
Trump says he’s renaming AI to ‘super intelligence’
YESmainichi.jp97%match46¢-26%
Trump to rename AI to "superintelligence" and insist on continuing development.
YESfoxbusiness.com94%match46¢-26%
Trump rebrands AI, rejects 'globalist scheme' to control tech

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that adopts a new official name for artificial intelligence, or directs a federal agency or the federal government to adopt one, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying action must replace or supersede "artificial intelligence" as the federal government's designation for the technology itself. Any replacement name qualifies, including "Superior Intelligence", "Extreme Intelligence", "Supreme Intelligence", or "Genius Intelligence"; the name chosen has no bearing on resolution. An order that directs an agency to adopt or implement such a name within a stated period qualifies. Statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts, including polls posted to social media, do not count. Renaming a federal office, agency, program, task force, commission, or military service, such as an "AI Force", does not count unless the same action also renames the technology itself. Renaming a specific product, model, or private-sector system does not count. Incidental use of an alternative term in the text of an order, without a directive adopting it as the official designation, does not count. The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events