Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
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Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 3% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
The 0% Crypto Tax Window Closes January 1, 2027.
KEY REPUBLICAN SENATOR REMOVES ROADBLOCK TO #CRYPTO BILL - • ...
Exclusive: Key Republican senator removes roadblock to crypto bill
Trump sought to make the US “the crypto capital of the world.” After his rally ended, traders are searching for a new savior
U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES DRAFT BILL TO EXEMPT CRYPTO STABLECOIN TRANSACTIONS UNDER $200 FROM CAPITAL GAINS TAXES
JUST IN: US House representatives draft bill to exempt crypto stablecoin transactions under $200 from capital gains taxes.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market.
If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.
If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.