Texas Governor Election Winner
Open13as of
Market pricing makes Greg Abbott (R) the favorite at 78% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
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9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Live: Gina Hinojosa, the Democratic nominee for Texas governor, held a news conference Thursday in San Antonio to challenge Gov. Greg Abbott, who is running for a fourth term, to a debate at the governor’s mansion next week. Abbott is facing the most challenging campaign of his career, with recent polls showing Hinojosa within striking distance or faring better than Abbott. There has not been a debate scheduled between the two candidates.
In Texas governor’s race, Abbott spends big to try to stay in office
Texas poll: James Talarico holds a narrow advantage for Senate while Greg Abbott leads for governor
New - Texas polls The Governor Gina Hinojosa 49% Greg Abbott (Inc) 45% The Senate James Talarico 49% Ken Paxton 43% 2024 Trump +13.7 ReconMR/Siena #B - LV - 9/11
New - Texas polls The Governor Gina Hinojosa 49% Greg Abbott (Inc) 45% The Senate James Talarico 49% Ken Paxton 43% 2024 Trump +13.7 ReconMR/Siena #B - LV - 9/11
81% chance Republican Greg Abbott wins reelection — Polymarket • •
In DDHQ's latest podcast, we looked at our new governors forecast! • • Texas remains a red state even though #TXSen is a toss-up — that's required a blue environment + weak candidate (Paxton). Meanwhile, Gov. Greg Abbott (R) has about a 3 in 4 shot of winning reelection in #TXGov.
Texas delivers stark warning to Republicans in critical election year
BREAKING: Jasmine Crockett tells Texas Republican voters to screw off she does not need their votes to win the election in 2026.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.