Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
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IRAN: NO HORMUZ REOPENING DEAL • • Iran says reports that it agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz are false. • • A source cited by Fars News says no deal has been accepted. • • The report adds the strait will remain closed while the US continues what Iran calls "hostile actions." • • Ships may only pass via Iran's designated route and with permission from the IRGC Navy.
The Persian Gulf Waterway Management Authority announced that due to the continued "aggressive" actions of US military forces in the region, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is not possible. The authority added: "As soon as stability and calm are established, all requests will be reviewed and permits will be issued in a timely manner."
Due to the aggressive actions of the United States, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is not possible Persian Gulf Waterway Management Authority:
Due to the continued aggressive actions of the United States military forces in the region, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is not possible. As soon as stability and calm are established, all requests will be reviewed and permits will be issued in a timely manner. @IRIBNEWS_COM
The Persian Gulf Waterway Authority has reiterated that due to the continued aggressive actions of the US, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is not possible. The authority added that as soon as stability and calm are restored, all requests will be reviewed and permits will be issued in order. #Iran
The Iranian authority managing the Strait of Hormuz: Transit requests through Hormuz will be considered once calm and stability are restored to the region.
Strait of Hormuz traffic may not return to normal for 12 months or more, according to prediction markets
Shipping data: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has stabilized at 3 ships per day over the past three days.
Reuters, citing shipping data: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has stabilized at 3 ships per day over the past three days.
Traffic volumes in both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait have declined.
Live: Vessel traffic in Strait of Hormuz falls further
The Strait Of Hormuz Is Caught In The Crossfire Again. Traffic Has Plummeted By Two Thirds. • Tankers are increasingly avoiding the Strait of Hormuz since hostilities between the U.S. and Iran resumed, according to new data.
Shipping transits slow to a trickle as Strait of Hormuz faces “worst-case scenario”
Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has almost completely stopped, with only 6 ships passing through the strait in the last 24 hours. #AlArabiya_Business
Live: Strait of Hormuz ship traffic plummets to three-week low, tracking data shows
Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic falls to lowest level since May
Data: Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to its lowest level, with only 3 ships passing through in 24 hours.
Shipping data: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains very limited amid renewed US-Iranian strikes
With the return of the blockade on Iranian ports, shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has sharply declined, raising concerns about energy supplies.
Live: Strait of Hormuz crossings plummet again
Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic plummets as just 10 ships cross yesterday
Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz slows to its lowest level in two months
Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz slows to its lowest level in several weeks
Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic slows to five-week low
Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic slows to multi-week low
Live: Hormuz traffic slows to multi-week low
Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted and almost come to a standstill.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.