Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
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Market pricing makes Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo the favorite at 6%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Exclusive: Ukraine, US align on new peace push as officials hope Russia may accept air truce
Live: Three killed in latest Russian strikes on Ukraine
Live: Ukraine fails to shoot down Russian ballistic missiles, as Zelensky pleads for Patriot interceptors
The Kremlin: Russia can afford to continue the operation in Ukraine
Zelenskiy : Ukraine Russia ceasefire along the current frontlines would be a fair option
RUSSIAN ATTACK DAMAGED TOTAL OF THREE TURKISH-OWNED VESSELS IN ODESA REGION, UKRAINIAN NAVY SPOKESPERSON SAYS
RUSSIAN ATTACK DAMAGED TOTAL OF THREE TURKISH-OWNED VESSELS IN ODESA REGION, UKRAINIAN NAVY SPOKESPERSON SAYS
A ceasefire in Ukraine would be another deception and "brainwashing", "we need peace", Peskov stated.
Russia hits back at Europe's big plan to loan Moscow's frozen cash to Ukraine
Ukraine and its European allies sent President Trump a response to his team’s earlier peace plan in an effort to accelerate cease-fire talks with Russia, but big gaps remain
Ukraine hands revised 20-point peace plan proposal to US - Official
Ukraine hands revised 20-point peace plan proposal to the US - ABC News
UKRAINE HANDS REVISED 20-POINT PEACE PLAN PROPOSAL TO US: ABC
UKRAINE HANDS REVISED 20-POINT PEACE PLAN PROPOSAL TO US - REPORTS
RUSSIA LAVROV SAYS WE WANT A PACKAGE OF DOCUMENTS ON A LONG-TERM SUSTAINABLE PEACE FOR UKRAINE
Ukraine sends US new plan to end war with Russia, as Trump blasts Europe-scmp
UKRAINE SENT A REVISED PEACE PLAN TO WASHINGTON AS PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP HELD A CALL WITH EUROPEAN LEADERS - REPORTS
Slovenia’s foreign minister commended the Trump administration for working to broker a deal between Russia and Ukraine but said that the continent’s leaders and Ukraine should get a better seat at the ceasefire negotiations
Zelensky says that Ukraine ready to present peace plan
The territories returned from Ukraine are important; these lands have always been part of Russia- Putin
ZELENSKYY SAYS UKRAINE IS COMMITTED TO REAL PEACE
ZELENSKIY SAYS UKRAINE IS COMMITTED TO REAL PEACE
US Ambassador to NATO Matthew Whitaker told the Doha Forum that Russia and Ukraine are "closer than ever" to peace. “You know, we're close, we’re closer than we've ever been to peace,” Whittaker said, while acknowledging that “this is a tough situation to get to the right spot.”…
Ukraine peace talks stall as Russia unleashes huge waves of attacks
BREAKING
US says Kushner and Witkoff Held 'Constructive' Peace Talks with Ukraine's Security Chiefs They discussed peace framework and essential security guarantees; both sides agree progress hinges on Russia's 'serious commitment' to de-escalation.
BREAKING: Russia fires several hypersonic Kinzhal missiles at Ukraine
US, Ukraine officials say they'll meet for 3rd day after progress on security framework, urge Russia to commit to peace
Russia increasingly belligerent as truce talks flounder, Ukraine war rages
“This was a signal to Zelensky to cut a deal with the Russians.” Russia has set firm conditions for ending the war in Ukraine, primarily demanding territorial concessions that Kyiv refuses to accept. Can there be a compromise? Anton Fedyashin explains. #Heat #Russia #Ukraine
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf