Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

OpenOutcomes76as of

Market pricing makes Michael Penix Jr. the favorite at 47% across 76 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Michael Penix Jr.47%
Fernando Mendoza45%
Kyler Murray45%
Cam Ward44%
Kirk Cousins44%
Jayden Daniels44%
Patrick Mahomes43%
Drake Maye43%
Shedeur Sanders42%
Daniel Jones42%
Jordan Love42%
Lamar Jackson41%
Bryce Young41%
Tyler Shough41%
C.J. Stroud39%
Aaron Rodgers36%
Deshaun Watson27%
Joe Burrow21%
Jaxson Dart17%
JJ McCarthy17%
Dak Prescott11%
Jared Goff9%
Justin Herbert6%
Josh Allen4%
Malik Willis4%
Geno Smith4%
Trevor Lawrence4%
Bo Nix3%
Caleb Williams3%
Jalen Hurts2%

All further outcomes (46 more):

Player AA · Sam Darnold · Matthew Stafford · Brock Purdy · Carson Beck · Jacoby Brissett · Player A · Player B · Player C · Player D · Player E · Player F · Player G · Player H · Player I · Player J · Player K · Player L · Player M · Player N · Player O · Player P · Player Q · Player R · Player S · Player T · Player U · Player V · Player W · Player X · Player Y · Player Z · Player AB · Player AC · Player AD · Player AE · Player AF · Player AG · Player AH · Player AI · Player AJ · Player AK · Player AL · Player AM · Player AN · Other

What moved the odds?

A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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