MLB: 2026 AL MVP

OpenOutcomes51as of

Market pricing makes Yordan Alvarez the favorite at 93% across 51 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

11 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits 2 home runs in one game, leading the league among Japanese players this season.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 33rd home run, his first in four games, to change the momentum! He created scoring opportunities early on with two walks and a hit-by-pitch, and the team won with 4 home runs and 14 runs, trailing the league leader by just one game.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 33rd home run in four games! He ties Okamoto for the most home runs by a Japanese player this season, a big hit to help the team reclaim first place, and is just three homers away from the rookie club record.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 32nd home run, a game-winning three-run homer, and his first major league triple, ending the White Sox losing streak and putting them back in first place, tied with the Guardians.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, becoming the first Japanese player to reach the majors in his rookie year; Yusei Kikuchi earns his first win of the season.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run of the season, becoming the first Japanese player in his first year in Major League Baseball to do so.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, a two-run shot, becoming the first Japanese player to do so in his first year in the majors.
Munetaka Murakami reaches 30 home runs, a first for a Japanese player in his rookie year, and his first home run in 17 games.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, a two-run shot, becoming the first Japanese player to do so in his rookie year in the majors.
Munetaka Murakami becomes the first Japanese rookie to reach 30 home runs! He hits a two-run homer for the first time in 17 games to give his team the lead. He is just 5 home runs away from the rookie club record.
Yordan Alvarezapnews.com93%match92¢+1%
Yordan Alvarez's Triple Crown bid will have to survive a major challenge from the AL East

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.