Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
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Market pricing makes Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? the favorite at 2%, as of .
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What moved the odds?
21 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Andrew’s place in line of succession may survive another year
A visibly shaken Andrew Mountbatten‑Windsor is photographed slumped in the back of his Range Rover after being released from police custody. Hear the latest on the widening royal scandal on the Reuters World News podcast
Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, the younger brother of King Charles III, was released from police custody after being arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office over allegations he passed confidential government documents to Jeffrey Epstein. Mountbatten-Windsor, was…
It has been nearly four centuries since the arrest of a senior British royal. The detainment of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor on his 66th birthday is a fresh nadir for the UK’s most powerful family, as it tries to outrun a litany of setbacks and adapt to the 21st century. Read more:…
How Reuters captured the photo of former Prince Andrew leaving custody
King Charles III on former Prince Andrew’s arrest: ‘The law must take its course’
British police were searching the former mansion of King Charles' younger brother Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor after a photograph of the royal emerging from a police station was splashed on newspapers around the world
Former British Prince Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor was arrested on Thursday, Feb. 19, on suspicion of misconduct in public office.
[Replying to @rawsalerts] @rawsalerts 22% chance Prince Andrew does time. > #BREAKING: Andrew Mountbatten Windsor has been released from police custody after almost 12 hours
Trump calls British royal Andrew's arrest 'very sad'
[Replying to @PolitlcsUK] @PolitlcsUK 22% chance Prince Andrew is sentenced to prison. > BREAKING: Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor has been pictured leaving Aylsham police station
[Replying to @Reuters] King Charles' brother Andrew left a UK police station, according to a Reuters witness, following an earlier arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office > Britain's King Charles attends fashion designer Tolu Coker's AW26 catwalk show on the opening day of London Fashion Week, in London, Britain, February 19, 2026. Isabel Infantes
BREAKING: Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, has been released from police custody.
[Replying to @BBCBreaking] Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor released under investigation as police say searches in Norfolk, UK, have ended - follow live > Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor pictured leaving police station in back of car following earlier arrest - live updates
Police say the former Prince Andrew has been released after his arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office
NEW: Maria Farmer reacts to Andrew's arrest.
UK police say ex-prince Andrew 'released under investigation'
*TRUMP: ARREST OF ANDREW IS 'SO BAD FOR THE ROYAL FAMILY' *TRUMP SAYS KING CHARLES COMING TO US SOON
BREAKING: Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor released from police custody
BREAKING: Former Prince Andrew released from police custody after almost 12 hours.
King Charles attended a London Fashion Week show hours after his brother Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor was arrested over allegations of sending confidential documents to Jeffrey Epstein
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.