Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
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Market pricing makes Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? the favorite at 16%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
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What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
“Poilievre needs to decide whether he wants to be smug and right, in his own mind, or whether he wants to win elections. Right now, it’s not clear that he wants to win elections.”
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.