Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Open$157Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 16% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES16¢
NO85¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.