OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes OpenAI acquired before 2027? the favorite at 4%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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