Next US Senate Minority Leader?
Open59as of
Market pricing makes Person D the favorite at 50% across 59 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Person D50%
Person E50%
Person F50%
Person G50%
Person H50%
Person I50%
Person J50%
Person K50%
Person L50%
Person M50%
Person N50%
Person O50%
Person P50%
Person Q50%
Person R50%
Person S50%
Person T50%
Person U50%
Person V50%
Person W50%
Person X50%
John Thune44%
All further outcomes (29 more):
Person Y · Person Z · Person AA · Person AB · Person AC · Person AD · Person AE · Person AF · Person AG · Person AH · Person AI · Person AJ · Person AK · Person AL · Person AM · Person AN · Person AO · Person AP · Person AQ · Person AR · Person AS · Person AT · Person AU · Person AV · Person AW · Person AX · Person AY · Person AZ · Other
What moved the odds?
A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.