Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

OpenOutcomes35as of

Market pricing makes Ulrich Siegmund the favorite at 74% across 35 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

All further outcomes (5 more):

Candidate W · Candidate X · Candidate Y · Candidate Z · Other

What moved the odds?

22 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Ulrich Siegmundwelt.de93%match20¢+30%
Sachsen-Anhalt: CDU-Fraktion will bei Wahl von AfD-Politiker Ulrich Siegmund Saal verlassen
Ulrich Siegmundspiegel.de97%match20¢+30%
Saxony-Anhalt: How the CDU plans to outmaneuver Ulrich Siegmund
Sven Schulzebild.de92%match98¢-1%
CDU Saxony-Anhalt: Threats to leave and dispute over Sven Schulze
Ulrich Siegmundbild.de93%match34¢-24%
Ulrich Siegmund: Did his missing votes come from the CDU?
Sepp Müllerspiegel.de93%match94¢+4%
CDU Saxony-Anhalt: Alleged "mud-slinging" – Sepp Müller defends himself against accusations of cheating
Ulrich Siegmundwelt.de97%match54¢-52%
Saxony-Anhalt: Ulrich Siegmund comments after outrage over statement on armaments and "remigration"
Ulrich Siegmundwelt.de92%match52¢-50%
AfD election winner: Why Ulrich Siegmund shies away from governing
Sepp Müllerspiegel.de97%match94¢+4%
Saxony-Anhalt live: Sepp Müller disappointed by Schulze's election as parliamentary group leader
Sepp Müllerwelt.de92%match97¢+1%
Saxony-Anhalt: Minister-President Schulze prevails in a contested vote as the new CDU parliamentary group leader
Lydia Hüskenswelt.de93%match100¢-1%
Saxony-Anhalt: Minister-President Schulze prevails in a contested vote as the new CDU parliamentary group leader
Sepp Müllerbild.de93%match97¢+1%
Following the election in Saxony-Anhalt: Minister-President Schulze is the new head of the CDU parliamentary group.
Lydia Hüskensbild.de94%match100¢-1%
Following the election in Saxony-Anhalt: Minister-President Schulze is the new head of the CDU parliamentary group.
Ulrich Siegmundwelt.de94%match52¢-50%
After AfD election victory: This is how Schulze wants to prevent Ulrich Siegmund from becoming MPK leader
Ulrich SiegmundRussian Media98%match65¢+14%
"I am very determined": Ulrich Siegmund, the leader of the AfD party, which won the elections in Saxony-Anhalt, announced his readiness to take on responsibility and run for the post of state prime minister. At the same time, he emphasized that he would only put forward his candidacy if he could secure a stable majority in the Landtag in support of the Alternative for Germany policy. "I am an absolute realist. I am a democrat. Of course, I am very determined that we must take responsibility," Siegmund said. The politician also added that the party will not "break itself" and abandon its own principles. According to him, the AfD does not want to become like the CDU, which was "justly punished in the elections." Furthermore, Sigmund criticized Germany's spending, including support for Ukraine "of hundreds of billions of euros," which does not benefit the country, but is distributed directly and indirectly. On September 6, in the state parliament elections in Saxony-Anhalt, the Alternative for Germany party gained 44.5%. Friedrich Merz's CDU took second place, gaining only 17.2%. Answering a question about the possibility of resignation, Merz stated that "giving up is not an option." More IZ RU news in MAX
Ulrich Siegmundspiegel.de97%match65¢+14%
AfD victory in Saxony-Anhalt: This is how Ulrich Siegmund plans to take over the government
Ulrich SiegmundFrench Media96%match66¢+12%
"L'homme le plus dangereux d'Allemagne": qui est Ulrich Siegmund, le candidat qui a fait gagner l'AfD en Saxe-Anhalt?
Ulrich Siegmundrtl.fr97%match59¢+25%
"Most dangerous man in Germany", links with Trump, close to the neo-Nazi movement: who is Ulrich Siegmund, the far-right candidate who won the elections in Saxony-Anhalt?
Ulrich Siegmundleparisien.fr92%match25¢+196%
"The most dangerous man in Germany": who is Ulrich Siegmund, the far-right candidate in Saxony-Anhalt, on the verge of power?
Ulrich Siegmundbild.de96%match72¢-64%
Saxony-Anhalt: Ulrich Siegmund needs more than a three-vote majority!
Ulrich Siegmundspiegel.de93%match78¢-67%
TV debate ahead of the election in Saxony-Anhalt: Sven Schulze scores points, Ulrich Siegmund remains lackluster.
Sven Schulzespiegel.de93%match69¢-96%
TV debate ahead of the election in Saxony-Anhalt: Sven Schulze scores points, Ulrich Siegmund remains lackluster.
Ulrich Siegmunddbws.io94%match41¢+80%
NEWSMAKER-Ulrich Siegmund, sunny face of the AfD, bids for power in German state election

What is this event about?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.