Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released
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This hub tracks 10 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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September 30100%
September 15100%
October 31100%
September 2100%
September 4100%
September 9100%
September 11100%
September 3100%
What moved the odds?
24 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
GOOGLE $GOOGL RELEASES GEMINI 3.8 FLASH CYBER, SCORES 86.2% ON CYBERGYM • • Sundar Pichai calls it the company's most capable cybersecurity model, with frontier-level performance in discovering and patching vulnerabilities at Flash-level speed and pricing. • • - CyberGym, the industry benchmark for autonomous vulnerability discovery: 86.2% • - In evaluations on real Chrome security bugs, the model produced 2.6x more correct patches than larger models • - Access runs through the new Fairwind program, open to government agencies and cybersecurity partners • • Google released Gemini 3.8 Flash alongside it. Both models share the same foundational intelligence.
GOOGLE $GOOGL RELEASES GEMINI 3.8 FLASH CYBER, SCORES 86.2% ON CYBERGYM • • Sundar Pichai calls it the company's most capable cybersecurity model, with frontier-level performance in discovering and patching vulnerabilities at Flash-level speed and pricing. • • - CyberGym, the industry benchmark for autonomous vulnerability discovery: 86.2% • - In evaluations on real Chrome security bugs, the model produced 2.6x more correct patches than larger models • - Access runs through the new Fairwind program, open to government agencies and cybersecurity partners • • Google released Gemini 3.8 Flash alongside it. Both models share the same foundational intelligence.
GOOGLE $GOOGL RELEASES GEMINI 3.8 FLASH CYBER, SCORES 86.2% ON CYBERGYM • • Sundar Pichai calls it the company's most capable cybersecurity model, with frontier-level performance in discovering and patching vulnerabilities at Flash-level speed and pricing. • • - CyberGym, the industry benchmark for autonomous vulnerability discovery: 86.2% • - In evaluations on real Chrome security bugs, the model produced 2.6x more correct patches than larger models • - Access runs through the new Fairwind program, open to government agencies and cybersecurity partners • • Google released Gemini 3.8 Flash alongside it. Both models share the same foundational intelligence.
GOOGLE $GOOGL RELEASES GEMINI 3.8 FLASH CYBER, SCORES 86.2% ON CYBERGYM • • Sundar Pichai calls it the company's most capable cybersecurity model, with frontier-level performance in discovering and patching vulnerabilities at Flash-level speed and pricing. • • - CyberGym, the industry benchmark for autonomous vulnerability discovery: 86.2% • - In evaluations on real Chrome security bugs, the model produced 2.6x more correct patches than larger models • - Access runs through the new Fairwind program, open to government agencies and cybersecurity partners • • Google released Gemini 3.8 Flash alongside it. Both models share the same foundational intelligence.
GOOGLE $GOOGL RELEASES GEMINI 3.8 FLASH CYBER, SCORES 86.2% ON CYBERGYM • • Sundar Pichai calls it the company's most capable cybersecurity model, with frontier-level performance in discovering and patching vulnerabilities at Flash-level speed and pricing. • • - CyberGym, the industry benchmark for autonomous vulnerability discovery: 86.2% • - In evaluations on real Chrome security bugs, the model produced 2.6x more correct patches than larger models • - Access runs through the new Fairwind program, open to government agencies and cybersecurity partners • • Google released Gemini 3.8 Flash alongside it. Both models share the same foundational intelligence.
GOOGLE $GOOGL SET TO RELEASE GEMINI 3.8 FLASH AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY • • The model, known internally as "Skimaki," has significantly upgraded coding capabilities, per employees cited by WSJ. In head-to-head testing inside Jetski, Google's internal coding tool, engineers have preferred it to Anthropic's Opus model. • • Google has fallen months behind schedule on a new model from its "Pro" series, despite CEO Sundar Pichai saying in May that one would arrive "next month." Internal candidates for 3.5 Pro were scrapped because they were not sufficiently better than the Flash series. Gemini 4 has performed well on pretraining evaluations but still needs to complete posttraining. • • Flash models are smaller, cheaper, and faster to run than the largest models. DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis stepped aside last month, with Koray Kavukcuoglu succeeding him.
GOOGLE $GOOGL SET TO RELEASE GEMINI 3.8 FLASH AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY • • The model, known internally as "Skimaki," has significantly upgraded coding capabilities, per employees cited by WSJ. In head-to-head testing inside Jetski, Google's internal coding tool, engineers have preferred it to Anthropic's Opus model. • • Google has fallen months behind schedule on a new model from its "Pro" series, despite CEO Sundar Pichai saying in May that one would arrive "next month." Internal candidates for 3.5 Pro were scrapped because they were not sufficiently better than the Flash series. Gemini 4 has performed well on pretraining evaluations but still needs to complete posttraining. • • Flash models are smaller, cheaper, and faster to run than the largest models. DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis stepped aside last month, with Koray Kavukcuoglu succeeding him.
GOOGLE $GOOGL SET TO RELEASE GEMINI 3.8 FLASH AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY • • The model, known internally as "Skimaki," has significantly upgraded coding capabilities, per employees cited by WSJ. In head-to-head testing inside Jetski, Google's internal coding tool, engineers have preferred it to Anthropic's Opus model. • • Google has fallen months behind schedule on a new model from its "Pro" series, despite CEO Sundar Pichai saying in May that one would arrive "next month." Internal candidates for 3.5 Pro were scrapped because they were not sufficiently better than the Flash series. Gemini 4 has performed well on pretraining evaluations but still needs to complete posttraining. • • Flash models are smaller, cheaper, and faster to run than the largest models. DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis stepped aside last month, with Koray Kavukcuoglu succeeding him.
GOOGLE $GOOGL SET TO RELEASE GEMINI 3.8 FLASH AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY • • The model, known internally as "Skimaki," has significantly upgraded coding capabilities, per employees cited by WSJ. In head-to-head testing inside Jetski, Google's internal coding tool, engineers have preferred it to Anthropic's Opus model. • • Google has fallen months behind schedule on a new model from its "Pro" series, despite CEO Sundar Pichai saying in May that one would arrive "next month." Internal candidates for 3.5 Pro were scrapped because they were not sufficiently better than the Flash series. Gemini 4 has performed well on pretraining evaluations but still needs to complete posttraining. • • Flash models are smaller, cheaper, and faster to run than the largest models. DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis stepped aside last month, with Koray Kavukcuoglu succeeding him.
GOOGLE $GOOGL SET TO RELEASE GEMINI 3.8 FLASH AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY • • The model, known internally as "Skimaki," has significantly upgraded coding capabilities, per employees cited by WSJ. In head-to-head testing inside Jetski, Google's internal coding tool, engineers have preferred it to Anthropic's Opus model. • • Google has fallen months behind schedule on a new model from its "Pro" series, despite CEO Sundar Pichai saying in May that one would arrive "next month." Internal candidates for 3.5 Pro were scrapped because they were not sufficiently better than the Flash series. Gemini 4 has performed well on pretraining evaluations but still needs to complete posttraining. • • Flash models are smaller, cheaper, and faster to run than the largest models. DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis stepped aside last month, with Koray Kavukcuoglu succeeding him.
Google’s AI Research Unit is Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash as Soon as Wednesday - WSJ
Google’s AI Research Unit is Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash as Soon as Wednesday - WSJ
Google’s AI Research Unit is Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash as Soon as Wednesday - WSJ
Google’s AI Research Unit is Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash as Soon as Wednesday - WSJ
Google’s AI Research Unit is Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash as Soon as Wednesday - WSJ
Exclusive: Google Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash AI Model This Week -- WSJ
Exclusive: Google Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash AI Model This Week -- WSJ
Exclusive: Google Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash AI Model This Week -- WSJ
Exclusive: Google Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash AI Model This Week -- WSJ
*Google Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash AI Model This Week, Sources Say -- WSJ
*Google Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash AI Model This Week, Sources Say -- WSJ
*Google Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash AI Model This Week, Sources Say -- WSJ
*Google Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash AI Model This Week, Sources Say -- WSJ
*Google Set to Release Gemini 3.8 Flash AI Model This Week, Sources Say -- WSJ
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.