Mississippi Senate Election Winner

OpenOutcomes13as of

Market pricing makes Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) the favorite at 91% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Scott Colom (D)thehill.com97%match7¢+29%
Obama rolls out ad for Dem Scott Colom in Mississippi Senate race Former President Obama rolled out a new advertisement this week in support of Democratic Mississippi Senate candidate Scott Colom, amid growing dissatisfaction among Americans in the GOP’s handling of key issues. “Mississippi, it’s time for a change. That’s why you need to send Scott Colom to the U.S. Senate,” Obama said in the ad. “Scott…
Scott Colom (D)apnews.com95%match7¢+29%
Live: Barack Obama adds Mississippi Senate nominee Scott Colom to his endorsement list
Scott Colom (D)nytimes.com95%match10¢-10%
Live: Representative James E. Clyburn, South Carolina’s longest serving Black lawmaker, plans to travel to Mississippi to rally for Scott Colom, a Democrat running for Senate there who is the party’s latest hope of winning an upset victory as the political environment for Republicans worsens.
Bennie Thompson with some comments on #MSSen • • “The DSCC is missing a golden opportunity. A lot of folks keep asking why Sen. Schumer and the DSCC won’t get engaged on behalf of Scott Colom’s campaign.” • • What has the DSCC said? • • “‘Well, we’re looking at it.’ Which is bullshit"

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.