James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
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Market pricing makes James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? the favorite at 3%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Former FBI Director James Comey urged a federal judge to throw out an indictment alleging he threatened President Trump's life, arguing that it targets speech protected by the First Amendment and that the phrase at the center of the charges, "86 47," does not connote violence.
Former FBI Director James Comey will join me at 9 p.m. ET tonight.
DOJ sees fallout after push to prosecute former FBI director James Comey
A federal judge on Friday set a July 15 trial date for former FBI Director James Comey on two charges that he threatened President Donald Trump's life through a social media post, marking the first firm timeline for a case the Department of Justice revived after an earlier prosecution of Comey collapsed last fall.
‘86 it’: Restaurant workers say the term at the center of James Comey’s indictment is ‘everyday lingo’
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.