Israeli Legislative Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Yashar the favorite at 55% across 39 tracked outcomes, as of .
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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Red light in Netanyahu's camp; competition enters new phase Israel's Channel 12 poll places Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party in first place with 23 seats and Netanyahu's Likud in second place with 20 seats. This three-seat gap, along with the consequences of the Ramadan war, economic and livelihood pressures, security concerns and international criticism, is considered a wake-up call for Netanyahu and his party. However, the fate of the future government depends on the final election results and the possibility of forming a majority coalition. Read the full text at the following link: @Nournews_IR
Red light in Netanyahu's camp; competition enters new phase Israel's Channel 12 poll places Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party in first place with 23 seats and Netanyahu's Likud in second place with 20 seats. This three-seat gap, along with the consequences of the Ramadan war, economic and livelihood pressures, security concerns and international criticism, is considered a wake-up call for Netanyahu and his party. However, the fate of the future government depends on the final election results and the possibility of forming a majority coalition. Read the full text at the following link: @Nournews_IR
Netanyahu at the faction meeting tonight in Petah Tikva: Storm the Likud strongholds and bring back three seats from the right. Netanyahu conveyed two messages to the faction members ahead of the elections: Get voters to the polls and sharply attack the Ofer Winter and Handel-Zelika parties, which he said together are taking away about three seats from the right-wing bloc. The Prime Minister particularly attacked Yaron Zelika and mentioned his opposition to Kahlon's media reform. Shlomo Filber presented a survey at the meeting according to which about three-quarters of young people support Likud, Smotrich and Ben Gvir, compared to a quarter who support the opposition. Filber also presented an internal survey according to which Likud stands at 31 seats.
The political makeup of war criminals in the hellish elections of "Israel" As a war criminal, Eisenkot is considered Netanyahu's main rival in the race for the post of prime minister. According to polls, 38% of voters want him to be at the head of the government. But this amount of votes is not enough to form a government, even in the form of a coalition. However, this amount of success is not enough to form a government, even in the form of a coalition; in such a situation, the Likud party could rebuild the current ruling coalition by winning a total of 52 seats, while the Yashar party will probably try to unite the current opposition parties around its axis, but according to current polls, the total possible votes of the opposition parties will not be enough to form a government. The Israeli parliamentary elections will be held on November 25, which is significantly close to the anniversary of Operation "Al-Aqsa Storm." This proximity to the time will certainly have an impact on the feelings of Zionist voters. dnws.ir/003dhJ @Defapress_ir
The political makeup of war criminals in the hellish elections of "Israel" As a war criminal, Eisenkot is considered Netanyahu's main rival in the race for the post of prime minister. According to polls, 38% of voters want him to be at the head of the government. But this amount of votes is not enough to form a government, even in the form of a coalition. However, this amount of success is not enough to form a government, even in the form of a coalition; in such a situation, the Likud party could rebuild the current ruling coalition by winning a total of 52 seats, while the Yashar party will probably try to unite the current opposition parties around its axis, but according to current polls, the total possible votes of the opposition parties will not be enough to form a government. The Israeli parliamentary elections will be held on November 25, which is significantly close to the anniversary of Operation "Al-Aqsa Storm." This proximity to the time will certainly have an impact on the feelings of Zionist voters. dnws.ir/003dhJ @Defapress_ir
Israeli elections; Will Netanyahu go down in history in a month? The early elections in the Israeli regime will be held in a month, while the "Yashar" party led by Gadi Eisenkot is ahead of the "Likud" led by Benjamin Netanyahu in the latest estimates, but the equation for forming a government remains complex and uncertain. @ilnair
Israeli elections; Will Netanyahu go down in history in a month? The early elections in the Israeli regime will be held in a month, while the "Yashar" party led by Gadi Eisenkot is ahead of the "Likud" led by Benjamin Netanyahu in the latest estimates, but the equation for forming a government remains complex and uncertain. @ilnair
Former Israeli Prime Minister and leader of the opposition "Together" party, Naftali Bennett: — I am confident that we can win 63 seats in the elections. * Forming a government in Israel requires the confidence of at least 61 of the 120 Knesset members. This came in response to an agreement by the leaders of five opposition parties, including the head of the "Yeshar" party, Gadi Eisenkot, and opposition leader Yair Lapid, to coordinate in the upcoming elections to oust Netanyahu's government and form an alternative one.
The results of the latest election polls in the occupied territories The latest poll by the Hebrew newspaper Ma'ariv shows that the "Yashar" party, headed by Gadi Eisenkot, is facing 22 seats and the Likud party, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, is facing 18 seats. The "Blue and White" party, headed by Benny Gantz, is also not passing the threshold to enter the Knesset with 1.3% of the vote. According to this poll, the total seats of the parties in Netanyahu's coalition, including the "Amcha Yisrael" party, headed by Ofer Winter, will reach 49 seats, while the opposition parties will win 55 seats. The Arab parties will also win a total of 12 seats and the "Reserves and Economic Party" coalition, headed by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zeleikha, will win 4 seats; This coalition is not included in the calculation of either of the 2 camps. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
The results of the latest election polls in the occupied territories The latest poll by the Hebrew newspaper Ma'ariv shows that the "Yashar" party, headed by Gadi Eisenkot, is facing 22 seats and the Likud party, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, is facing 18 seats. The "Blue and White" party, headed by Benny Gantz, is also not passing the threshold to enter the Knesset with 1.3% of the vote. According to this poll, the total seats of the parties in Netanyahu's coalition, including the "Amcha Yisrael" party, headed by Ofer Winter, will reach 49 seats, while the opposition parties will win 55 seats. The Arab parties will also win a total of 12 seats and the "Reserves and Economic Party" coalition, headed by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zeleikha, will win 4 seats; This coalition is not included in the calculation of either of the 2 camps. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
#Breaking | Maariv poll: Eisenkot's Yashar party continues to lead with 22 seats compared to 18 for Netanyahu's Likud party if Knesset elections were held today
An Israeli poll shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party leading with 22 seats compared to 18 for Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party, according to Channel 13. The ruling coalition bloc secures 51 seats, compared to 52 for the opposition parties and 13 for the Arab parties. Naftali Bennett's Ma'an party and Yair Golan's Democratic Party each receive 11 seats. The Joint List, Yisrael Beiteinu, and United Torah Judaism each receive 8 seats. 48% prefer Eisenkot for prime minister compared to 36% for Netanyahu, while 16% said they don't know who is more suitable. The poll surveyed 1,503 people and has a margin of error of 2.5%. Percent
An Israeli poll shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party leading with 22 seats compared to 18 for Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party, according to Channel 13. The ruling coalition bloc secures 51 seats, compared to 52 for the opposition parties and 13 for the Arab parties. Naftali Bennett's Ma'an party and Yair Golan's Democratic Party each receive 11 seats. The Joint List, Yisrael Beiteinu, and United Torah Judaism each receive 8 seats. 48% prefer Eisenkot for prime minister compared to 36% for Netanyahu, while 16% said they don't know who is more suitable. The poll surveyed 1,503 people and has a margin of error of 2.5%. Percent
Poll: Opposition bloc leads Netanyahu's coalition with 54 seats to 50 According to the poll results, neither bloc has the 61-seat majority needed to form a government, while Arab parties win 12 seats. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party becomes the largest with 23 seats, ahead of Netanyahu's Likud, which wins 20 seats. Arab parties win 12 seats, including 7 for the Joint List and 5 for the United Arab List. Eisenkot leads Netanyahu in preferences for prime minister, 41% to 38%. The poll was conducted by Israel's Channel 12 in coordination with the Sample Research and Consulting Institute, and included 2,498 people with a margin of error of 4.4%. Percent The poll comes ahead of the Israeli general elections scheduled for October 27, in which 38 lists have registered to contest the elections.
Poll: Opposition bloc leads Netanyahu's coalition with 54 seats to 50 According to the poll results, neither bloc has the 61-seat majority needed to form a government, while Arab parties win 12 seats. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party becomes the largest with 23 seats, ahead of Netanyahu's Likud, which wins 20 seats. Arab parties win 12 seats, including 7 for the Joint List and 5 for the United Arab List. Eisenkot leads Netanyahu in preferences for prime minister, 41% to 38%. The poll was conducted by Israel's Channel 12 in coordination with the Sample Research and Consulting Institute, and included 2,498 people with a margin of error of 4.4%. Percent The poll comes ahead of the Israeli general elections scheduled for October 27, in which 38 lists have registered to contest the elections.
News 12 Poll: Yashar maintains gap with Likud, Yisrael Beiteinu and RAAM strengthen. What is happening with the percentages of suitability for the prime ministership and what is the picture of the blocs? Full poll |
Yashar maintains the gap from Likud, Yisrael Beiteinu and Ra'am are getting stronger. What is happening with the percentages of suitability for the prime ministership and what is the picture of the blocs? Full survey |
Netanyahu's Likud party is blocking an initiative to facilitate Israeli citizens abroad to come to the country and vote before the October 27 elections. In a petition submitted to the Central Election Commission, Likud stated that those participating in the travel arrangements run by the AID Coalition (American-Israeli Democracy Coalition) would largely vote for opposition parties. According to recent opinion polls, Netanyahu's Likud party is experiencing a sharp decline. ➔ According to some polls published in the Israeli press, if elections were held today, Likud would be able to win 18 seats.
Israel votes in just over a month. • • Likud (dark blue) has just been overtaken in the polls by an entirely new party, Yashar (straight/truthful - light blue), founded by former IDF Chief of the General Staff Gadi Eisenkot, who has recently become the major challenger to Netanyahu.
Israel votes in just over a month. • • Likud (dark blue) has just been overtaken in the polls by an entirely new party, Yashar (straight/truthful - light blue), founded by former IDF Chief of the General Staff Gadi Eisenkot, who has recently become the major challenger to Netanyahu.
Israel votes in just over a month. • • Likud has just been overtaken in the polls by an entirely new party, Yashar (straight/truthful), founded by former IDF Chief of the General Staff Gadi Eisenkot, who has recently become the major challenger to Netanyahu.
Israel votes in just over a month. • • Likud has just been overtaken in the polls by an entirely new party, Yashar (straight/truthful), founded by former IDF Chief of the General Staff Gadi Eisenkot, who has recently become the major challenger to Netanyahu.
A Maariv newspaper poll: Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu in preference for prime minister, 48% to 40%. Naftali Bennett leads Netanyahu, 44% to 41%, while Netanyahu leads Avigdor Lieberman, 42% to 38%. Netanyahu's coalition wins 50 seats, compared to 54 for the opposition bloc, while Arab parties win 12 seats. Eisenkot's Yashar party leads with 23 seats, compared to 18 for Likud, and Bennett's Ma'an party wins 13 seats. Forming a government in Israel requires the confidence of at least 61 members of the 120-seat Knesset.
A Maariv newspaper poll: Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu in preference for prime minister, 48% to 40%. Naftali Bennett leads Netanyahu, 44% to 41%, while Netanyahu leads Avigdor Lieberman, 42% to 38%. Netanyahu's coalition wins 50 seats, compared to 54 for the opposition bloc, while Arab parties win 12 seats. Eisenkot's Yashar party leads with 23 seats, compared to 18 for Likud, and Bennett's Ma'an party wins 13 seats. Forming a government in Israel requires the confidence of at least 61 members of the 120-seat Knesset.
FWD from Direct Polls | Direct Pulse: i24NEWS mandate poll via Direct Pulse, 40 days to the election (in brackets: change compared to last week's poll): - Likud 27 (unchanged), Yeshar 21 (-1), Democrats 10 (1+), Together 9 (1-1), United Torah Judaism 8 (unchanged), Yisrael Beiteinu 8 (1+), Otzma Yehudit 7 (1-1), Shas 7 (unchanged), Joint List 7 (unchanged), Religious Zionism - Zehut 6 (unchanged), Amach Yisrael 5 (1+), Ra'am 5 (unchanged). - Second week in a row: 60-60 blocs tied. - Eisenkot completes a 3-seat loss in one month. - In the sector of ultra-Orthodox parties that do not pass the threshold, the line The separatist black color occupies a much more significant volume than the integration line of the Haredi public (Leitner) and the others. The one paying the main price for the loss of these mandates is the Shas party.
FWD from Direct Polls | Direct Pulse: i24NEWS mandate poll via Direct Pulse, 40 days to the election (in brackets: change compared to last week's poll): - Likud 27 (unchanged), Yeshar 21 (-1), Democrats 10 (1+), Together 9 (1-1), United Torah Judaism 8 (unchanged), Yisrael Beiteinu 8 (1+), Otzma Yehudit 7 (1-1), Shas 7 (unchanged), Joint List 7 (unchanged), Religious Zionism - Zehut 6 (unchanged), Amach Yisrael 5 (1+), Ra'am 5 (unchanged). - Second week in a row: 60-60 blocs tied. - Eisenkot completes a 3-seat loss in one month. - In the sector of ultra-Orthodox parties that do not pass the threshold, the line The separatist black color occupies a much more significant volume than the integration line of the Haredi public (Leitner) and the others. The one paying the main price for the loss of these mandates is the Shas party.
FWD from Direct Polls | Direct Pulse: i24NEWS mandate poll via Direct Pulse, 40 days to the election (in brackets: change compared to last week's poll): - Likud 27 (unchanged), Yeshar 21 (-1), Democrats 10 (1+), Together 9 (1-1), United Torah Judaism 8 (unchanged), Yisrael Beiteinu 8 (1+), Otzma Yehudit 7 (1-1), Shas 7 (unchanged), Joint List 7 (unchanged), Religious Zionism - Zehut 6 (unchanged), Amach Yisrael 5 (1+), Ra'am 5 (unchanged). - Second week in a row: 60-60 blocs tied. - Eisenkot completes a 3-seat loss in one month. - In the sector of ultra-Orthodox parties that do not pass the threshold, the line The separatist black color occupies a much more significant volume than the integration line of the Haredi public (Leitner) and the others. The one paying the main price for the loss of these mandates is the Shas party.
An Israeli poll by the official broadcasting authority: Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party has dropped to 20 seats, compared to 24 for Gadi Eisenkot's Yesh Atid party. Naftali Bennett's Ma'an party is in third place with 12 seats, while Otzma Yehudit and Yisrael Beiteinu have each gained 8 seats. The poll leaves Netanyahu's bloc and the opposition tied at 52 seats each, while the Arab parties are projected to win 12 seats. The results come ahead of the elections scheduled for October 27, where any government needs 61 seats to form.
An Israeli poll by the official broadcasting authority: Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party has dropped to 20 seats, compared to 24 for Gadi Eisenkot's Yesh Atid party. Naftali Bennett's Ma'an party is in third place with 12 seats, while Otzma Yehudit and Yisrael Beiteinu have each gained 8 seats. The poll leaves Netanyahu's bloc and the opposition tied at 52 seats each, while the Arab parties are projected to win 12 seats. The results come ahead of the elections scheduled for October 27, where any government needs 61 seats to form.
What is this event about?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:
- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party.
Otherwise:
- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.
- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.