Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
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Market pricing makes Israel election: will Likud lose seats? the favorite at 93%, as of .
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Red light in Netanyahu's camp; competition enters new phase Israel's Channel 12 poll places Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party in first place with 23 seats and Netanyahu's Likud in second place with 20 seats. This three-seat gap, along with the consequences of the Ramadan war, economic and livelihood pressures, security concerns and international criticism, is considered a wake-up call for Netanyahu and his party. However, the fate of the future government depends on the final election results and the possibility of forming a majority coalition. Read the full text at the following link: @Nournews_IR
i24 poll: Netanyahu's bloc at 60, Likud and Yesher down two seats from previous poll but gap between them maintained, Winter in, Yozalicha out
Yahya Dabouq | The Israeli right wing enters the elections vying for representation of its base and the relative strength of its constituent parties, while the Likud party's influence wanes and its allies become increasingly independent of Netanyahu. To read the full article
Israeli elections; Will Netanyahu go down in history in a month? The early elections in the Israeli regime will be held in a month, while the "Yashar" party led by Gadi Eisenkot is ahead of the "Likud" led by Benjamin Netanyahu in the latest estimates, but the equation for forming a government remains complex and uncertain. @ilnair
Netanyahu's right wing is at a disadvantage; one month until Israeli elections; numerous political parties, coalition negotiations expected to be difficult.
Netanyahu's right wing is at a disadvantage; Israeli elections are one month away; numerous political parties make coalition negotiations difficult.
Israel: Opposition leader Avigdor Lieberman of the Yisrael Beiteinu party vows to oust Netanyahu and his government in the elections scheduled for October 27. — Commenting on the agreement by leaders of five opposition parties to coordinate their efforts in the upcoming elections to topple Netanyahu's government and form an alternative one.
Former Israeli Prime Minister and leader of the opposition "Together" party, Naftali Bennett: — I am confident that we can win 63 seats in the elections. * Forming a government in Israel requires the confidence of at least 61 of the 120 Knesset members. This came in response to an agreement by the leaders of five opposition parties, including the head of the "Yeshar" party, Gadi Eisenkot, and opposition leader Yair Lapid, to coordinate in the upcoming elections to oust Netanyahu's government and form an alternative one.
With one month to go until the Israeli general election, the opposition led by Netanyahu's political rivals is gaining momentum. Opinion polls predict a significant decrease in the number of seats the ruling party will win. However, Netanyahu is skilled at coalition negotiations, and it is said that even if he loses the position of the largest party, he may still be able to form a government.
The results of the latest election polls in the occupied territories The latest poll by the Hebrew newspaper Ma'ariv shows that the "Yashar" party, headed by Gadi Eisenkot, is facing 22 seats and the Likud party, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, is facing 18 seats. The "Blue and White" party, headed by Benny Gantz, is also not passing the threshold to enter the Knesset with 1.3% of the vote. According to this poll, the total seats of the parties in Netanyahu's coalition, including the "Amcha Yisrael" party, headed by Ofer Winter, will reach 49 seats, while the opposition parties will win 55 seats. The Arab parties will also win a total of 12 seats and the "Reserves and Economic Party" coalition, headed by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zeleikha, will win 4 seats; This coalition is not included in the calculation of either of the 2 camps. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
Netanyahu's camp drops to 49 seats compared to 55 for the opposition. An Israeli poll by the Maariv newspaper: Yesh Atid Eisenkot's party continues to lead with 22 seats compared to 18 for Netanyahu's Likud party if Knesset elections were held today. 47% of Israelis prefer Eisenkot for prime minister, compared to 39% for Netanyahu, and 14% are undecided. Netanyahu's bloc drops to 49 seats, while the opposition rises to 55, up from 50 to 54 last week.
Poll: Opposition bloc leads Netanyahu's coalition with 54 seats to 50 According to the poll results, neither bloc has the 61-seat majority needed to form a government, while Arab parties win 12 seats. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party becomes the largest with 23 seats, ahead of Netanyahu's Likud, which wins 20 seats. Arab parties win 12 seats, including 7 for the Joint List and 5 for the United Arab List. Eisenkot leads Netanyahu in preferences for prime minister, 41% to 38%. The poll was conducted by Israel's Channel 12 in coordination with the Sample Research and Consulting Institute, and included 2,498 people with a margin of error of 4.4%. Percent The poll comes ahead of the Israeli general elections scheduled for October 27, in which 38 lists have registered to contest the elections.
Israeli Channel 12 poll: Opposition would win 54 seats compared to 50 for Netanyahu's bloc if elections were held today Neither bloc has the 61-seat majority needed to form the next government Gadi Eisenkot's Yesh Atid party leads with 23 seats, ahead of Netanyahu's Likud Eisenkot leads Netanyahu in preferences for prime minister, 41% to 38% Arab parties would win 12 seats, divided between the Joint List with 7 seats and the United Arab List with 5 seats The poll comes weeks before the Israeli general elections scheduled for October 27
Netanyahu's Likud party is blocking an initiative to facilitate Israeli citizens abroad to come to the country and vote before the October 27 elections. In a petition submitted to the Central Election Commission, Likud stated that those participating in the travel arrangements run by the AID Coalition (American-Israeli Democracy Coalition) would largely vote for opposition parties. According to recent opinion polls, Netanyahu's Likud party is experiencing a sharp decline. ➔ According to some polls published in the Israeli press, if elections were held today, Likud would be able to win 18 seats.
An Israeli poll by the official broadcasting authority: Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party has dropped to 20 seats, compared to 24 for Gadi Eisenkot's Yesh Atid party. Naftali Bennett's Ma'an party is in third place with 12 seats, while Otzma Yehudit and Yisrael Beiteinu have each gained 8 seats. The poll leaves Netanyahu's bloc and the opposition tied at 52 seats each, while the Arab parties are projected to win 12 seats. The results come ahead of the elections scheduled for October 27, where any government needs 61 seats to form.
News 12 Poll: Likud and Shar weaken, Gush Ha'aretz declines as Handel and Zilcha pass threshold | 2026 Elections @amit_segal | @DaphnaLiel |
News 12 Poll: Likud and Sher weaken, Gush Ha'aretz declines as Handel and Zelikha pass the threshold | 2026 Elections
@amit_segal | @DaphnaLiel |
Israeli Likud falls to its lowest level since May 2025 A poll published by the Maariv newspaper: The Israeli opposition leads with 58 seats in the Knesset compared to 50 for the ruling coalition Netanyahu continues to trail Eisenkot and Bennett in the race for prime minister
Likud's historic fall to 19 seats A poll by the Hebrew newspaper "Ma'ariv" after the lists for the Knesset elections closed shows that the Likud party led by Netanyahu has fallen by one seat to 19 seats, the lowest number since May 29, 2025. @YjcNewsChannel
Latest poll results in occupied Palestine; Likud party falls below 20 seats The latest poll results in the occupied territories show that the Likud party, led by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has won less than 20 seats.
#IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
#Breaking | A poll shows Netanyahu's Likud party falling to 19 seats in the Knesset, its lowest level since May 2025 (Maariv)
"I love Israel, but I hate the Netanyahu government and its policies": former US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton sharply criticized the Israeli leadership on MS NOW. Clinton referred to the publication of the Israeli press, according to which the President of the UAE Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan warned Benjamin Netanyahu about the impending attack by Hamas before the events of October 7, 2023. "And either he didn’t believe it, or - it’s scary even to say this - he wanted to see what exactly they were planning, in order to then fall upon them with all their might and thereby strengthen his position. I don’t know what he was guided by. But, in fact, it was not just a lack of imagination. It was a failure of leadership. It was a failure to protect the people of Israel," Clinton said. She also made it clear that Washington should build tougher relations with the current Israeli leadership. "If Israelis want to vote for this again, I think the United States will have to take a very tough stance," the former Secretary of State said. Parliamentary elections will be held in Israel on October 27. Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition is lagging in the polls, and his Likud party is expected to lose a significant portion of its Knesset seats. Former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot is considered one of the prime minister's main rivals. More IZ RU news in MAX
Israeli parliamentary elections; Netanyahu's opponents lead the polls A new poll in the occupied territories regarding the parliamentary elections showed that the Israeli opposition is still in the lead, winning 57 seats compared to 52 seats for the coalition of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but neither coalition will win the 61-seat majority needed to form a cabinet. According to IRNA on Thursday, Al-Shorouk announced the news, adding: This is the result of the first poll by the Israeli TV channel 12 since the Knesset electoral lists were closed ahead of the elections scheduled for October 27.
#IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
A poll conducted by the Lazar Institute and published by the Hebrew news site Walla: The opposition party Yesh Atid, headed by Gadi Eisenkot, continues to lead with 25 seats. The Likud party, headed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has fallen to second place with 21 seats. The Jewish opposition leads Netanyahu's bloc with 57 seats compared to 51, with no party reaching the 61-seat majority required to form a government.
#Breaking | Poll: Israeli opposition could win 61 Knesset seats if a party headed by Yoaz Hendel joins it, thus enabling it to form a government (Maariv)
Electoral earthquake in Israel; Netanyahu comes within one step of Eisenkot A new poll by Israel's Channel 13 shows that Gadi Eisenkot's party is still leading with 22 seats, but Netanyahu's Likud has narrowed the gap to one seat with 21 seats. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
Results of a poll published by the Maariv newspaper: Likud drops to 20 Knesset seats, its lowest level since June 2025, while the Yesh Atid party leads. The opposition maintains the 61-seat majority needed to form a government.
What is this event about?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).