Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes
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This hub tracks 36 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
21 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Live: Who is Bev Craig, Greater Manchester's new mayor?
Who is Bev Craig, Manchester’s new Labour mayor?
Live: ‘I’m honoured, I’m humbled and I stand ready to serve’: Bev Craig on winning Manchester election
NEW: Labour’s Bev Craig wins by-election to succeed Andy Burnham as Greater Manchester mayor •
Bev Craig is elected as Manchester’s new Labour mayor
NEW: Labour’s Bev Craig elected as Greater Manchester Mayor, succeeding Andy Burnham •
Bev Craig has won the Greater Manchester Mayoral election • • LAB: 309,525 - 66.3% • RFM: 157,178 - 33.7% • • Landslide triumph for Labour
Labour's Bev Craig elected mayor of Greater Manchester, succeeding Andy Burnham
Live: Bev Craig succeeds Andy Burnham as Greater Manchester Mayor in major Labour victory
Bev Craig succeeds Andy Burnham as Greater Manchester Mayor in major Labour victory • •
Live: Labour's Bev Craig wins Greater Manchester mayoralty race
Bev Craig has won in Manchester city. • The wider GM results will be announced soon
Labour's Bev Craig wins Greater Manchester mayoral election
Live: Bev Craig wins Manchester mayorality
A senior Labour figure reckons Bev Craig has won it outright in Manchester City. Even Wigan. Interesting if true about Wigan - Reform won 24 of the 25 seats at the local elections this year
Andy Burnham urges voters to back Bev Craig in Greater Manchester mayoral election
What is this event about?
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.
If two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).