GPT-6 released
Resolved13as of
This hub tracks 13 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
OpenAI: Gpt‑5.6 Model Family is Now Available in Kiro
OpenAI rolls out GPT-5.6 Sol for ChatGPT. • OpenAI said GPT-5.6 Sol is for everyday chat and should give more focused answers with fewer factual mistakes.
OpenAI’s GPT-6 Will Arrive by September, Markets Predict
OpenAI’s GPT-6 Will Arrive by September, Markets Predict
OpenAI’s GPT-6 Will Arrive by September, Markets Predict
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.