GPT-6 released

OpenOutcomes13as of

Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 65% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .

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5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

October 31, 2026Reuters91%match54¢-28%
OpenAI: Gpt‑5.6 Model Family is Now Available in Kiro
OpenAI rolls out GPT-5.6 Sol for ChatGPT. • OpenAI said GPT-5.6 Sol is for everyday chat and should give more focused answers with fewer factual mistakes.
December 31, 2026decrypt.co96%match89¢-27%
OpenAI’s GPT-6 Will Arrive by September, Markets Predict
September 30, 2026decrypt.co97%match76¢-37%
OpenAI’s GPT-6 Will Arrive by September, Markets Predict
August 31, 2026decrypt.co97%match28¢-100%
OpenAI’s GPT-6 Will Arrive by September, Markets Predict

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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