Gemini 4.0 released
Open7as of
Market pricing makes November 30 the favorite at 88% across 7 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
GOOGLE JUST INTRODUCED GEMINI 3.7 FLASH • • Google says Gemini 3.7 Flash will be available through the end of the year at an introductory price of: • • • $0.75 per 1M input tokens • • $3.75 per 1M output tokens
GOOGLE JUST INTRODUCED GEMINI 3.7 FLASH • • Google says Gemini 3.7 Flash will be available through the end of the year at an introductory price of: • • • $0.75 per 1M input tokens • • $3.75 per 1M output tokens
Google Expands Gemini With Cheaper Models And A Wider Agent Push. • Google's Gemini 3.6 Flash, Flash-Lite and restricted Flash Cyber launches plus Spark's move to the $19.99 AI Pro tier signal a push on price, reach and security AI.
Today’s launches are all about better performance, lower latency, and a smaller bill. • • + 3.6 Flash cuts token usage by up to 65% on complex coding • + 3.5 Flash-Lite reaches speeds of 350 output tokens/sec • • Both are live in the Gemini app today! • • Next up: Gemini 3.5 Pro, which has officially entered partner testing.
GOOGLE $GOOGL LAUNCHES THREE NEW GEMINI MODELS, HAS STARTED PRE-TRAINING GEMINI 4 • • Google introduced Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite and Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber, and said it has started pre-training Gemini 4, per the company. • • • Gemini 3.6 Flash: $1.50 per 1M input tokens, $7.50 per 1M output tokens • • Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite: $0.30 per 1M input tokens, $2.50 per 1M output tokens • • Google said Gemini 3.5 Pro is currently testing with partners and it plans to make it broadly available "as soon as it's ready."
Google: Gemini 3.6 Flash Priced at $1.50/1mln Input Tokens & $7.50/1mln Output Tokens
Google: Introducing Gemini 3.6 Flash, Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite & Gemini 3.5 Flash Cyber
Google Search Completely Overhauled with Gemini 3.5 Flash
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.