GDP growth in 2026
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The US Department of Commerce has maintained its estimate of the country's GDP growth in the second quarter at 1.5% – the second estimate from the country's Department of Commerce.
SCOTIABANK SEES U.S. GDP GROWTH SLOWING TO 2% IN 2026, 1.9% IN 2027 • • SCOTIABANK SEES CANADA GDP GROWTH SLOWING TO 0.9% IN 2026, EXPANDING TO 2.2% IN 2027
Fitch on US: Forecasts Growth to Remain Relatively Resilient at 1.9% in 2026-2027 but Down From 2.8% in 2025
Fitch on US: Forecasts Growth to Remain Relatively Resilient at 1.9% in 2026-2027 but Down From 2.8% in 2025
Fitch on US: Forecasts Growth to Remain Relatively Resilient at 1.9% in 2026-2027 but Down From 2.8% in 2025
US economic growth in the second quarter of 2026 was lower than expected New statistics show that the US economy grew at an annual rate of 1.5% in the second quarter of 2026, which was lower than the 2.1% growth in the first quarter and lower than market expectations. Despite this decline, increased consumer spending and increased investment in artificial intelligence have helped maintain domestic demand. However, the increase in the trade deficit has been cited as one of the main factors slowing down the pace of US economic growth during this period./Chandsenikeh Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
US economic growth in the second quarter of 2026 was lower than expected New statistics show that the US economy grew at an annual rate of 1.5% in the second quarter of 2026, which was lower than the 2.1% growth in the first quarter and lower than market expectations. Despite this decline, increased consumer spending and increased investment in artificial intelligence have helped maintain domestic demand. However, the increase in the trade deficit has been cited as one of the main factors slowing down the pace of US economic growth during this period./Chandsenikeh Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
US GDP grew at an annualized rate of 1.5% in the second quarter, with increased imports fueling the AI boom and reduced government spending contributing to the slower economic growth.
US GDP grew 1.5% in April-June, slowing from the previous quarter and below market expectations.
US GDP grew 1.5% in April-June, slowing from the previous quarter and below market expectations.
US GDP grew at an annualized rate of 1.5% in the April-June quarter, below market expectations and slowing from the previous quarter.
URGENTLY The IMF left unchanged its forecast for US GDP growth in 2026 at 2.3%.
URGENTLY The IMF left unchanged its forecast for US GDP growth in 2026 at 2.3%.
URGENTLY The IMF left unchanged its forecast for US GDP growth in 2026 at 2.3%.
The IMF has kept the US growth forecast for 2026 unchanged at 2.3%, but has revised it upward to 2.2% for 2027.
The IMF has kept the US growth forecast for 2026 unchanged at 2.3%, but has revised it upward to 2.2% for 2027.
NEEDS forecasts real GDP growth of 1.0% in FY2025 and 0.9% in FY2026.
NEEDS forecasts real GDP growth of 1.0% in FY2025 and 0.9% in FY2026.
Poll: US to grow 2.3% and 2.0% in 2026 and 2027, respectively, after rising 2.2% in 2025 (vs 2.0%, 1.9%, and 2.0% in December poll)
Poll: US to grow 2.3% and 2.0% in 2026 and 2027, respectively, after rising 2.2% in 2025 (vs 2.0%, 1.9%, and 2.0% in December poll)
US Commerce Secretary Lutnick: I expect US GDP to be above 5% in the first quarter of 2026.
IMF FORECASTS 2026 U.S. GROWTH AT 2.4% VS 2.1% IN OCTOBER; 2027 U.S. GROWTH FORECAST AT 2.0% VS 2.1% IN OCTOBER
IMF FORECASTS 2026 U.S. GROWTH AT 2.4% VS 2.1% IN OCTOBER; 2027 U.S. GROWTH FORECAST AT 2.0% VS 2.1% IN OCTOBER
FED'S BOSTIC SAYS EXPECT TO SEE GDP GROWTH NORTH OF 2% IN 2026
FED'S BOSTIC SAYS EXPECT TO SEE GDP GROWTH NORTH OF 2% IN 2026
FED'S BOSTIC SAYS EXPECT TO SEE GDP GROWTH NORTH OF 2% IN 2026
FED'S BOSTIC SAYS EXPECT TO SEE GDP GROWTH NORTH OF 2% IN 2026
FED'S BOSTIC SAYS EXPECT TO SEE GDP GROWTH NORTH OF 2% IN 2026
Fed's Bostic: I expect to see GDP growth north of 2% in 2026
Fed's Bostic: I expect to see GDP growth north of 2% in 2026
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.