FL-07 Republican Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 8 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Live: Rep. Cory Mills is the 11th House member to lose a primary this year
Florida Rep. Cory Mills Loses Primary After Scandal-Filled Campaign
DCCC-backed Bale Dalton on track to defeat progressive Marialana Kinter by around 10 percentage points in #FL07, a fairly tight margin considering Dalton trounced Kinter in $ and endorsements. • • Kind of a moot point though because GOP Rep. Cory Mills lost his primary.
GOP Rep. Cory Mills loses his Florida primary amid investigations and negative publicity, via @nbcnews
BREAKING: Florida primary voters reject re-election bid from scandal-plagued Cory Mills.
[UPDATE] Rep. Cory Mills loses Florida primary amid Ethics probe (first reported at 2026-08-19T00:20:44Z)
Incumbent Rep. Cory Mills ousted from #FL07 #flapol
Live: Ryan Elijah has clinched the Republican nomination for Florida’s 7th congressional district, defeating incumbent Cory Mills, who faced an array of scandals desp
Live: Ryan Elijah has clinched the Republican nomination for Florida’s 7th congressional district, defeating incumbent Cory Mills, who faced an array of scandals desp
Trump-endorsed incumbent Rep. Cory Mills unseated by Ryan Elijah in Florida’s 7th District
Trump-endorsed incumbent Rep. Cory Mills unseated by Ryan Elijah in Florida’s 7th District
Rep. Cory Mills loses Florida primary amid Ethics probe
Scandal-plagued GOP Rep. Cory Mills loses his primary
JUST IN: Rep. Cory Mills loses Florida primary amid Ethics probe
Rep. Cory Mills loses Florida primary amid Ethics probe
Scandal-plagued Rep. Cory Mills projected to lose GOP primary for Florida’s 7th District
Live: Trump-endorsed incumbent Rep. Cory Mills unseated by Ryan Elijah in Florida’s 7th District
Live: Trump-endorsed incumbent Rep. Cory Mills unseated by Ryan Elijah in Florida’s 7th District
Live: The defeat of Representative Cory Mills in Florida represents the third Republican House member to exit before the general election in recent weeks who had been seen as a weak candidate who was jeopardizing an otherwise more solid Republican seat. The others are Representative Andy Ogles of Tennessee, who lost his primary, and Representative Chuck Edwards of North Carolina, who announced he would not seek re-election.
Embattled incumbent Cory Mills ousted in Florida primary
House Republicans push to ensure scandal-plagued Rep. Cory Mills loses his primary came true. A sigh of relief for many who feared the seat would flip in November had he won tonight
Scandal-ridden Cory Mills ousted in GOP primary in Florida's 7th District
BREAKING: • • Republican Rep. Cory Mills just lost his GOP primary as he faces allegations of sexual misconduct and domestic abuse, on top of campaign finance violations. • • WASHINGTON (AP) — Ryan Elijah wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 7th Congressional District.
BREAKING: • • Republican Rep. Cory Mills just lost his GOP primary as he faces allegations of sexual misconduct and domestic abuse, on top of campaign finance violations. • • WASHINGTON (AP) — Ryan Elijah wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 7th Congressional District.
Live: Ryan Elijah, a former television reporter, defeats Rep. Cory Mills for Republican nomination
Live: Ryan Elijah, a former television reporter, defeats Rep. Cory Mills for Republican nomination
Cory Mills loses. • • Ryan Elijah has won the Republican primary for Florida's 7th congressional district, @NBCNews projects.
Cory Mills loses. • • Ryan Elijah has won the Republican primary for Florida's 7th congressional district, @NBCNews projects.
Live: Ryan Elijah projected to win GOP nod in Florida’s 7th House District
Incumbent Rep. Cory Mills lost his primary.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.