FL-07 Republican Primary WinnerCory Mills
ResolvedOutcome: No$34Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
35 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Rep. Cory Mills is the 11th House member to lose a primary this year
Florida Rep. Cory Mills Loses Primary After Scandal-Filled Campaign
DCCC-backed Bale Dalton on track to defeat progressive Marialana Kinter by around 10 percentage points in #FL07, a fairly tight margin considering Dalton trounced Kinter in $ and endorsements. • • Kind of a moot point though because GOP Rep. Cory Mills lost his primary.
GOP Rep. Cory Mills loses his Florida primary amid investigations and negative publicity, via @nbcnews
BREAKING: Florida primary voters reject re-election bid from scandal-plagued Cory Mills.
[UPDATE] Rep. Cory Mills loses Florida primary amid Ethics probe (first reported at 2026-08-19T00:20:44Z)
Incumbent Rep. Cory Mills ousted from #FL07 #flapol
Live: Ryan Elijah has clinched the Republican nomination for Florida’s 7th congressional district, defeating incumbent Cory Mills, who faced an array of scandals desp
Trump-endorsed incumbent Rep. Cory Mills unseated by Ryan Elijah in Florida’s 7th District
Rep. Cory Mills loses Florida primary amid Ethics probe
Scandal-plagued GOP Rep. Cory Mills loses his primary
JUST IN: Rep. Cory Mills loses Florida primary amid Ethics probe
Rep. Cory Mills loses Florida primary amid Ethics probe
Scandal-plagued Rep. Cory Mills projected to lose GOP primary for Florida’s 7th District
Live: Trump-endorsed incumbent Rep. Cory Mills unseated by Ryan Elijah in Florida’s 7th District
Live: The defeat of Representative Cory Mills in Florida represents the third Republican House member to exit before the general election in recent weeks who had been seen as a weak candidate who was jeopardizing an otherwise more solid Republican seat. The others are Representative Andy Ogles of Tennessee, who lost his primary, and Representative Chuck Edwards of North Carolina, who announced he would not seek re-election.
Embattled incumbent Cory Mills ousted in Florida primary
House Republicans push to ensure scandal-plagued Rep. Cory Mills loses his primary came true. A sigh of relief for many who feared the seat would flip in November had he won tonight
Scandal-ridden Cory Mills ousted in GOP primary in Florida's 7th District
BREAKING: • • Republican Rep. Cory Mills just lost his GOP primary as he faces allegations of sexual misconduct and domestic abuse, on top of campaign finance violations. • • WASHINGTON (AP) — Ryan Elijah wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 7th Congressional District.
Live: Ryan Elijah, a former television reporter, defeats Rep. Cory Mills for Republican nomination
Cory Mills loses. • • Ryan Elijah has won the Republican primary for Florida's 7th congressional district, @NBCNews projects.
Incumbent Rep. Cory Mills lost his primary.
Rep. Cory Mills loses GOP primary in latest test of running under an ethical cloud
Live: Representative Cory Mills Loses G.O.P. House Primary in Florida
Happy election night - here's where we are in the first hour of returns. • • FL • - Rep. Cory Mills, R-FL, is losing his House primary by six points. Most in GOP delighted. (Dems lose their best chance of a pickup there.) • - In US Senate race, progressive Angie Nixon has beat Dem Alex Vindman of impeachment 1.0 fame. Big win for progressives. (Republican Ashley Moody likely not sad either.) • - Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz is the winner in FL-20, after moving districts due to remapping • - In wild FL-19, somehow two former congressmen AND President Trump have all lost. Talk radio station owner Jim Schwartzel (who supports Trump but did not get the endorsement in the primary) wins. Madison Cawthorne and Chris Collins each were in single-digit percentages.
GOP Rep. Cory Mills loses his Florida primary amid investigations
Ryan Elijah will defeat Rep. Cory Mills in the #FL07 Republican primary, CNN projects • • Second loss for a Trump-endorsed candidate in a primary so far tonight
GOP Rep. Cory Mills loses his Florida primary amid investigations
Embattled Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL) has lost his primary
Mills watch: News anchor Ryan Elijah is up about 6 points over incumbent Rep. Cory Mills with about 3/4 of the votes in for the FL-7 race.
Rep. Cory Mills, R-Fla., is trailing in his House primary with over 71% of the vote counted.
Live: Trump-endorsed incumbent Rep. Cory Mills trails Ryan Elijah in Florida’s 7th District GOP primary
DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Florida US House 7 Republican Primary • • Ryan Elijah (R): 18,726 (43.2%) • Cory Mills (R): 16,029 (37.0%) • Sarah Ulrich (R): 4,942 (11.4%) • Michael Johnson (R): 3,638 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
House Republicans are still hoping remaining colleagues get the hint and drop their reelection campaigns, particularly Rep. Cory Mills. Rep. Kat Cammack tells me she’s not endorsing him, the latest FL in the delegation to do so
Where does the news lean?
1YES37NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for FL-07 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.