Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? the favorite at 20%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NOnypost.com99%match73¢+10%
Fetterman calls out Democratic Party’s ‘orgy of socialism’ after primary turmoil
YESPOLITICO99%match32¢-37%
Shapiro declines — again — to say if he’d back Fetterman for reelection
NOAcyn99%match71¢+13%
Does Fetterman just live on Fox now?
NOPOLITICO98%match81¢-1%
New: Progressives want to primary Fetterman. He might not be running anyways Sources think he’ll opt to retire and say he doesn’t seem to like the job. But the senator is leaving all doors open — reelex, retirement & maybe even a WH bid W @avanidkalra

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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