EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine

OpenOutcomes2as of

Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 5% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

21 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

December 31News92%match10¢-50%
URGENT EU and NATO countries plan to deploy their military contingents in Ukraine - Peskov
June 30marketnews_feed99%match3¢-100%
SPAIN PUSHES PROPOSAL FOR EU MILITARY FORCE, POLITICO REPORTS ...
December 31First Squawk98%match16¢-69%
EU COMMISSION SAYS WILL SEE WHAT FORM FACT-FINDING MISSION TO TAKE
June 30First Squawk98%match93¢+8%
EU COMMISSION SAYS WILL SEE WHAT FORM FACT-FINDING MISSION TO TAKE
December 31WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match84¢+13%
British and French paratroopers have made their final preparations before a possible peacekeeping mission to Ukraine-Telegraph Wow...
June 30WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match7¢-100%
British and French paratroopers have made their final preparations before a possible peacekeeping mission to Ukraine-Telegraph Wow...
December 31zerohedge98%match86¢+10%
The Brits & French Want Ukraine To Go Nuclear Out Of Desperation To Hold Onto Donbass
June 30zerohedge98%match93¢+8%
The Brits & French Want Ukraine To Go Nuclear Out Of Desperation To Hold Onto Donbass
December 31CGTN Europe98%match14¢-64%
RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY: DEPLOYMENT OF BRITISH TROOPS IN UKRAINE WILL NOT END CONFLICT, BUT WILL PROLONG WAR .
June 30CGTN Europe98%match93¢+8%
RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY: DEPLOYMENT OF BRITISH TROOPS IN UKRAINE WILL NOT END CONFLICT, BUT WILL PROLONG WAR .
December 31First Squawk98%match78¢+22%
Kallas tries to wrap her head around what a 'European Army' could look like It’s clearly too complicated for her, so she urges EU to stop 'wasting time' thinking about it
December 31WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match76¢+25%
European union has approved a 90 billion loan to Ukraine over 2 years, 60 billion for weapons.
June 30WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match91¢+10%
European union has approved a 90 billion loan to Ukraine over 2 years, 60 billion for weapons.
June 30zerohedge98%match11¢-100%
Zelenskyy Says US Gave Ukraine And Russia A June Deadline To End War
June 30First Squawk98%match11¢-100%
UKRAINE’S PRESIDENT VOLODYMYR ZELENSKIY SAYS THE US IS PROPOSING TO FINISH ALL NECESSARY NEGOTIATIONS AND HAVE ALL NEEDED DOCUMENTS SIGNED TO END RUSSIA’S INVASION OF UKRAINE IN JUNE
June 30First Squawk98%match11¢-100%
UKRAINE’S PRESIDENT VOLODYMYR ZELENSKIY SAYS THE US IS PROPOSING TO FINISH ALL NECESSARY NEGOTIATIONS AND HAVE ALL NEEDED DOCUMENTS SIGNED TO END RUSSIA’S INVASION OF UKRAINE IN JUNE
June 30CGTN America98%match11¢-100%
Zelenskyy says U.S. gave Ukraine and Russia a June deadline to reach agreement to end the nearly four-year war
June 30Al Jazeera English98%match11¢-100%
The US has given Ukraine and Russia a June deadline to reach an agreement to end the nearly four-year war, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said
June 30First Squawk98%match11¢-100%
ZELENSKIY: US LOOKS FOR DEAL ENDING RUSSIA'S WAR BY JUNE
June 30The Associated Press98%match11¢-100%
U.S. has given Ukraine and Russia a June deadline to reach an agreement to end the nearly four-year war, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy says.
June 30Bloomberg98%match11¢-100%
President Volodymyr Zelenskiy says the US is proposing to finish all necessary negotiations and have all needed documents signed to end Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in June

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related events