ECB rate hike in 2026?
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A majority of economists polled by Reuters believe the European Central Bank will increase its deposit rate in June and at least once more this year to combat inflation. • • More Here →
Reuters Poll-ECB to Hike Deposit Rate at Least Twice in 2026, Said 37 of 70 Economists (vs 34 of 85 in April Poll)
TRADERS ARE FULLY PRICING IN THREE INTEREST RATE HIKES BY THE ECB IN 2026. ...
Traders are fully pricing in three interest rate hikes by the ECB in 2026.
Traders are fully pricing in three interest rate hikes by the ECB in 2026.
European Central Bank’s Nagel: April Rate Hike Certainly an Option, but Just One Option
Poll: ECB to hold deposit rate at 2.00% through 2026, say 38 of 60 economists (versus 67 of 72 in March 13th poll). ECB to hike deposit rate at least once in 2026, say 21 of 60 economists (versus 3 of 72 in March)
Reuters Poll-ECB to Hold Deposit Rate at 2.00% Through 2026, Say 38 of 60 Economists (Versus 67 of 72 in March 13 Poll)
Reuters Poll-ECB to Hike Deposit Rate at Least Once in 2026, Say 21 of 60 Economists (Versus 3 of 72 in March 13 Poll)
Reuters Poll-EUR
Traders pare ECB and BoE rate bets, see less than 3 hikes in 2026
TRADERS INCREASED THEIR EXPECTATION THAT THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK WILL RAISE RATES, WITH A 50% CHANCE OF FOUR RATE HIKES IN 2026. THEY NOW BELIEVE MORE HIKES ARE LIKELY.
Deutsche Bank Expects ECB To Hike Rates By 25 Bps Each In June And September Vs Prior Forecast Of Keeping Rates Unchanged In 2026
Deutsche Bank Expects ECB to Hike Rates by 25 Bps Each in June and September vs Prior Forecast of Keeping Rates Unchanged in 2026
Barclays now forecasts that the European Central Bank will raise rates by 25 bp each in April and June 2026, shifting from a previous hold outlook.
Morgan Stanley forecasts 25 bp hikes by the European Central Bank in June and September 2026, shifting from its earlier hold stance.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. forecasts rate hikes by the European Central Bank in April and July 2026, shifting from its prior hold stance.
Economy / European Central Bank warns of rising inflation as war intensifies
Traders Now See More Than 60% Chance Of ECB Rate Hike By April • - Roughly 70 Bps Of Hikes Priced For 2026 Vs Around 50 Bps On Wednesday
TRADERS NOW SEE MORE THAN 60% CHANCE OF ECB HIKE BY APRIL (NOT MAY); ROUGHLY 70 BPS OF HIKES PRICED FOR 2026, UP FROM AROUND 50 BPS ON WEDNESDAY (CORRECTION)
Traders now see more than 60% chance of ECB hike by April, roughly 70 BPS of hikes priced for 2026, up from around 50 BPS on Wednesday.
Corrected-Traders Now See More Than 60% Chance of ECB Hike by April (Not May); Roughly 70 Bps of Hikes Priced for 2026, Up From Around 50 Bps on Wednesday
Traders Now See More Than 60% Chance Of ECB Rate Hike By May • - Roughly 70 Bps Of Hikes Priced For 2026 Vs Around 50 Bps On Wednesday
TRADERS NOW SEE MORE THAN 60% CHANCE OF ECB HIKE BY MAY; ROUGHLY 70 BPS OF HIKES PRICED FOR 2026, UP FROM AROUND 50 BPS ON WEDNESDAY
TRADERS NOW SEE MORE THAN 60 PCT CHANCE OF ECB HIKE BY MAY; ROUGHLY 70 BPS OF HIKES PRICED FOR 2026, UP FROM AROUND 50 BPS ON WEDNESDAY
Traders Now See More Than 60% Chance of ECB Hike by May; Roughly 70 Bps of Hikes Priced for 2026, Up From Around 50 Bps on Wednesday
ECB expects rate hike talks in April with move more likely in June, sources say
ECB Sources: April Likely Too Early for Any Rate Hike, June More Likely
ECB'S PRESIDENT LAGARDE: THE ECB IS NOW MORE ATTENTIVE TO RISKS AROUND THE OUTLOOK.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.