Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Open1as of
Market pricing makes Ebola pandemic in 2026? the favorite at 4%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
The World Health Organization: The current Ebola outbreak in countries on the continent has become the second largest outbreak of the virus in history.
World Health Organization: Ebola outbreak in Congo on track to surpass deadliest outbreak in history
The deadly virus defies borders... The World Health Organization confirms Ebola deaths have jumped to 1,586 and the mortality rate has risen to 44%.
Ébola se extiende a seis provincias en la República Democrática del Congo • • El decimoséptimo brote en el país africano llegó a Tshopo y Haut-Uele. Los casos se originaron en Nya Nya, Ituri, informó el Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. La OMS declaró la emergencia el 15 de mayo de 2026. • • ¿Qué medidas se aplican para frenar la propagación transfronteriza? • •
The Ebola outbreak in the DRC has reached 580 deaths, with 1,708 confirmed cases and 280 recoveries. The WHO has declared it a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. #DRC #Ebola #teleSUR
Ebola outbreak in eastern Congo kills over 500; WHO recognizes outbreak is still spreading.
Why aren't vaccines working against this Ebola outbreak? What's the next step?
Ebola in the DRC: More than 500 deaths and 1,561 confirmed cases. There are 628 patients hospitalized and 254 recovered. Authorities also report 354 suspected cases. The outbreak affects 36 health zones in three provinces. #DRC #Ebola #PublicHealth #Africa #teleSUR
Should Russians be concerned about a new Ebola outbreak? An outbreak of the disease previously occurred in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda. The WHO declared it a public health emergency of international concern. The organization emphasized that this is not a pandemic, but an epidemic—at least 80 people have already been reported dead. Regarding Russia, Rospotrebnadzor noted that Ebola poses no threat to Russians—there is no risk of spreading it. All checkpoints have implemented enhanced sanitary and quarantine controls.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.