Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Open$713Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Ebola outbreak in eastern Congo kills over 500; WHO recognizes outbreak is still spreading.
Why aren't vaccines working against this Ebola outbreak? What's the next step?
Should Russians be concerned about a new Ebola outbreak? An outbreak of the disease previously occurred in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda. The WHO declared it a public health emergency of international concern. The organization emphasized that this is not a pandemic, but an epidemic—at least 80 people have already been reported dead. Regarding Russia, Rospotrebnadzor noted that Ebola poses no threat to Russians—there is no risk of spreading it. All checkpoints have implemented enhanced sanitary and quarantine controls.
Where does the news lean?
4YES5NO16neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.