Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

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This hub tracks 7 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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What moved the odds?

26 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

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More than 18,000 cyclosporiasis cases reported across 45 states, CDC data shows
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Largest known U.S. cyclospora outbreak has now spread to nine states
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Largest known U.S. cyclospora outbreak has now spread to nine states
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Cyclospora Outbreak 2026 Map, Foods to Avoid as Parasite Reaches 41 States
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Cyclospora outbreak expands to nine US states, health officials say
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The nation’s largest multi-state outbreak of cyclosporiasis linked to shredded iceberg lettuce has expanded to nine states, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Friday. • • The four newly linked states – Illinois, Kansas, Oklahoma and Pennsylvania – join Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, West Virginia and hard-hit Michigan. Cyclospora is a microscopic parasite that typically infects people through contaminated food or water and causes cyclosporiasis, a gastrointestinal illness that can result in symptoms including severe diarrhea. Patients can require hospitalization, but no deaths have been recorded related to the parasite this year. • • More:
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The nation’s largest multi-state outbreak of cyclosporiasis linked to shredded iceberg lettuce has expanded to nine states, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Friday. • • The four newly linked states – Illinois, Kansas, Oklahoma and Pennsylvania – join Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, West Virginia and hard-hit Michigan. Cyclospora is a microscopic parasite that typically infects people through contaminated food or water and causes cyclosporiasis, a gastrointestinal illness that can result in symptoms including severe diarrhea. Patients can require hospitalization, but no deaths have been recorded related to the parasite this year. • • More:
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CDC says massive cyclospora outbreak is now in nine states
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CDC says massive cyclospora outbreak is now in nine states
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US cyclosporiasis outbreak expands to nine states as CDC investigates over 7,400 cases
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Cyclosporiasis outbreak expands to 9 states
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Cyclosporiasis outbreak expands to 9 states
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Cyclosporiasis: Case rates rise in five outbreak states
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Cyclosporiasis: Case rates rise in five outbreak states
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Cyclosporiasis rates rise in five outbreak states
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Cyclosporiasis rates rise in five outbreak states
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What we still don't know about the cyclosporiasis outbreak as cases rise
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What we still don't know about the cyclosporiasis outbreak as cases rise
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More than 11,500 cyclosporiasis cases reported in 41 states, CDC data shows
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More than 11,500 cyclosporiasis cases reported in 41 states, CDC data shows
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U.S. CDC: Between May 1 to July 20, Total Number of Cyclosporiasis Cases in the U.S. Were 4,173 - Website
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U.S. CDC: Between May 1 to July 20, Total Number of Cyclosporiasis Cases in the U.S. Were 4,173 - Website
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U.S. CDC: Between May 1 to July 20, Total Number of Cyclosporiasis Cases in the U.S. Were 4,173 - Website
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U.S. CDC: Between May 1 to July 20, Total Number of Cyclosporiasis Cases in the U.S. Were 4,173 - Website
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U.S. CDC: Between May 1 to July 20, Total Number of Cyclosporiasis Cases in the U.S. Were 4,173 - Website
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U.S. CDC: Between May 1 to July 20, Total Number of Cyclosporiasis Cases in the U.S. Were 4,173 - Website

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.

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