Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?5000+

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$10KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YEStheguardian.com94%match89¢+12%
US cyclosporiasis outbreak expands to nine states as CDC investigates over 7,400 cases
YESaxios97%match87¢+15%
Cyclosporiasis: Case rates rise in five outbreak states
YESabcnews.com97%match85¢+18%
More than 11,500 cyclosporiasis cases reported in 41 states, CDC data shows
NOReuters97%match41¢-100%
U.S. CDC: Between May 1 to July 20, Total Number of Cyclosporiasis Cases in the U.S. Were 4,173 - Website

Where does the news lean?

9YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.

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