CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Resolved21as of
This hub tracks 21 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
The expectation was for Luke Bronin, 47, to beat almost three decade Rep. John Larson, 78, handily. But a 20 point lead with almost 90% of the vote in is quite the call for generational change
The expectation was for Luke Bronin, 47, to beat almost three decade Rep. John Larson, 78, handily. But a 20 point lead with almost 90% of the vote in is quite the call for generational change
Live: Rep. John Larson’s fate a warning to other longtime New England Dems
Live: After ousting Larson, Luke Bronin says Democratic Party needs to embrace change
14-term Rep. John Larson ousted by challenger in Connecticut Democratic primary
Luke Bronin, speaking after defeating Rep. John Larson: "I hope that this campaign helps to send a message that if leaders in our party don’t recognize that we need to make changes, then the changes are going to come from the ground up." #CT01
Luke Bronin, speaking after defeating Rep. John Larson: "I hope that this campaign helps to send a message that if leaders in our party don’t recognize that we need to make changes, then the changes are going to come from the ground up." #CT01
Live: Luke Bronin, the former mayor of Hartford, ousted incumbent congressman John Larson in Connecticut’s first congressional district , the AP projects. Bronin, 47,
Live: Luke Bronin, the former mayor of Hartford, ousted incumbent congressman John Larson in Connecticut’s first congressional district , the AP projects. Bronin, 47,
Rep. John Larson ouster makes 2026 a record year for Democratic primary losses
Rep. John Larson, a Longtime Lawmaker, Loses a Primary in Connecticut
Live: Representative John Larson, Democrat of Connecticut, 78, becomes the latest incumbent to lose a primary. He was defeated by Luke Bronin, the former mayor of Hartford.
Live: Representative John Larson, Democrat of Connecticut, 78, becomes the latest incumbent to lose a primary. He was defeated by Luke Bronin, the former mayor of Hartford.
Live: Rep. John Larson, a Longtime Lawmaker, Loses a Primary in Connecticut
NEW: Luke Bronin unseats Rep. John Larson • • Larson is the 7th House Democrat to lose their primary this year — tied w/ 2012 for the most Democratic primary losses in the 21st century. • • More here:
NEW: Luke Bronin unseats Rep. John Larson • • Larson is the 7th House Democrat to lose their primary this year — tied w/ 2012 for the most Democratic primary losses in the 21st century. • • More here:
BREAKING: Rep. John Larson was unseated by his primary challenger, former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin in Connecticut, according to AP
BREAKING: Rep. John Larson was unseated by his primary challenger, former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin in Connecticut, according to AP
Wow - John Larson loses his primary
Luke Bronin will defeat Rep. John Larson in the #CT01 Democratic primary, CNN projects
Luke Bronin will defeat Rep. John Larson in the #CT01 Democratic primary, CNN projects
Longtime Rep. John Larson Loses Reelection Bid in Connecticut
Live: Luke Bronin defeats incumbent US Rep. John Larson in Connecticut Democratic primary
Live: Luke Bronin defeats incumbent US Rep. John Larson in Connecticut Democratic primary
John Larson, who’s been in office for 27 years, loses his primary to Luke Bronin in #CT01. • • Another sign of Dem electorate yearning for generational change
John Larson, who’s been in office for 27 years, loses his primary to Luke Bronin in #CT01. • • Another sign of Dem electorate yearning for generational change
Rep. John Larson becomes 7th House Democrat to lose primary this year
Live: Luke Bronin projected to win Democratic nod in Connecticut’s 1st House District
Live: Rep. John Larson ousted in Connecticut
WASHINGTON (AP) — Luke Bronin wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Connecticut's 1st Congressional District
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.