Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

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The Brazilian elections will be decided in the second round: After more than 97% of the votes were counted, Bolsonaro received 47.45% of the valid votes, surprising most polls that predicted his support would be lower. President Lula managed to grab 44.66% of the votes. Both have qualified for the second round of voting to be held on October 25.
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Senator Bolsonaro beats Lula da Silva in the first round of the presidential election.
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Senator Bolsonaro beats Lula da Silva in the first round of the presidential election.
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Brazil heads to run-off as Bolsonaro pulls off shock first place finish over Lula
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Brazil's presidential election heads to a runoff... Right-wing candidate Flavio has 47.17% of the vote, while incumbent President Lula has 44.99%.
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Brazil's presidential election heads to a runoff... Right-wing candidate Flavio has 47.17% of the vote, while incumbent President Lula has 44.99%.
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Brazil's presidential election heads to a runoff... Right-wing candidate Flavio has 47.17% of the vote, while incumbent President Lula has 44.99%.
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Brazil's presidential election heads to a runoff... Right-wing candidate Flavio has 47.17% of the vote, while incumbent President Lula has 44.99%.
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Brazil's presidential election heads to a runoff... Right-wing candidate Flavio has 47.17% of the vote, while incumbent President Lula has 44.99%.
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Bolsonaro edges past Lula as nail-biter Brazil vote goes to a run-off
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Bolsonaro edges past Lula as nail-biter Brazil vote goes to a run-off
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Bolsonaro leads Lula in vote as Brazil advances to a runoff presidential election
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12 Brazilian President Lula expressed disappointment with the results of the first round of elections: "An unexpected result, I was convinced that I would win the elections in the first round." Bolsonaro, who led, responded: "I am happy with the result, Brazil wants change"
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Live: Bolsonaro says his lead over Lula in first round of voting marks ‘end of the Worker’s Party era’
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'Right-wing' Bolsonaro takes first place in Brazil presidential election... Runoff with Lula
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Bolsonaro Takes Surprise First Place in Brazilian Presidential Election… Runoff with Lula
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Brazil’s Lula: Unexpected Result, I Was Convinced I Was Going to Win Election in First Round
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Reuters: With more than 97 percent of the votes counted, Bolsonaro won 47.45 percent of the vote, surpassing most private polls, according to Brazilian election officials. Lula won 44.66 percent.
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Reuters: With more than 97 percent of the votes counted, Bolsonaro won 47.45 percent of the vote, surpassing most private polls, according to Brazilian election officials. Lula won 44.66 percent.
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Reuters: With more than 97 percent of the votes counted, Bolsonaro won 47.45 percent of the vote, surpassing most private polls, according to Brazilian election officials. Lula won 44.66 percent.
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Reuters: With more than 97 percent of the votes counted, Bolsonaro won 47.45 percent of the vote, surpassing most private polls, according to Brazilian election officials. Lula won 44.66 percent.
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Reuters: With more than 97 percent of the votes counted, Bolsonaro won 47.45 percent of the vote, surpassing most private polls, according to Brazilian election officials. Lula won 44.66 percent.
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#Breaking | A second round of Brazilian elections is underway after Bolsonaro received 47.19% and Lula da Silva 44.97% of the vote.
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#Breaking | A second round of Brazilian elections is underway after Bolsonaro received 47.19% and Lula da Silva 44.97% of the vote.
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#Breaking | A second round of Brazilian elections is underway after Bolsonaro received 47.19% and Lula da Silva 44.97% of the vote.
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#Breaking | A second round of Brazilian elections is underway after Bolsonaro received 47.19% and Lula da Silva 44.97% of the vote.
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#Breaking | A second round of Brazilian elections is underway after Bolsonaro received 47.19% and Lula da Silva 44.97% of the vote.
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Bolsonaro Takes Surprise First Place in Brazilian Presidential Election… Runoff with Lula
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Bolsonaro leads Lula as nail-biter Brazil vote goes to a run-off
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Liberal Party candidate Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and incumbent Brazilian President Lula da Silva have advanced to the second round of the presidential election, the Electoral Commission announced after processing 99% of the votes. Bolsonaro is in first place with 47.2% of the vote, while Lula da Silva is in second place with 44.96%. Since neither candidate received more than 50% of the vote, the winner will be determined in the second round, which will take place on October 25.

What is this event about?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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