Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?
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The Left Party won the Berlin House of Deputies elections for the first time, receiving 25.7% of the vote, the capital's electoral commission reported. The Christian Democratic Union of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz came in second, receiving 18.8% of the vote. The right-wing opposition party Alternative for Germany came in third with 16.3%. The Greens followed with 14.3%.
Following the elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Friedrich Merz describes the results as disastrous and calls for an emergency meeting. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party advances and comes in second in Berlin.
Germany's far-right party AfD makes significant gains in Berlin and northeastern state parliamentary elections.
AfDНа выборах в земле Мекленбург — Передняя Померания «Христианско-демократический союз» (ХДС) набирает 4,9% голосов, рискуя не преодолеть пятипроцентный барьер для прохождения в ландтаг, следует из предварительных подсчетов местного избиркома.91%match1¢-100%
The CDU may fail to enter the state parliament for the first time.
Al Arabiya correspondent Ragheda Bahnam: The Alternative for Germany (AfD) and Left Party victories in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Berlin indicate widespread discontent with traditional parties in Germany. Merz considers the results disastrous for his party.
The hardline right-wing AfD is likely to become the largest party in the German state elections, and is poised to become the third largest party in Berlin.
Elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: ++ AfD success jeopardizes Germany's reputation, says the Auschwitz Committee ++ Live ticker
AfD in the lead and Left Party triumph: The German elections outside the CDU
During the rally in support of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) in the city of Rostock, both supporters and opponents of the party were present, our correspondent reports. AfD supporter Hans said that he was against war with Russia and called himself a "great friend of peace." At the same time, Barbara, a supporter of the democratic Alliance 90/Greens, is convinced that the AfD threatens democratic values. We told you in the article how another possible AfD victory would shake up Merz's seat. [in reply to: According to ARD, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) has come first in the state elections in Germany for the second time - this time in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: AfD gains 37%, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) - 35.5%. Chancellor Merz's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) - 5.5%. At the same time, the AfD is unlikely to be able to form a government: other parties have stated that they will not form a coalition with it. In Berlin, according to the ARD forecast, the first place is taken by Die Linke - 24.5%, CDU - 20%, AfD - about 16%. The current Berlin government is led by the CDU, and the mayor of the city is Kai Wegner. Merz called the CDU's result in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern a "disaster", but stated that he would take responsibility and continue the course for reforms.]
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “CDU” if CDU wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than AfD in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “AfD” if AfD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than CDU in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both CDU and AfD receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).