Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Bank of England rate hike in 2026? the favorite at 98%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

YESft.com92%match92¢+7%
Bank of England to raise rates in November if energy prices remain high
YESUkrainian Media97%match91¢+8%
BofA expects two rate hikes by the Bank of England, OECD does not see this as necessary Analysts at Bank of America Global Research predict that the Bank of England will raise interest rates twice in the next six months, as rising energy prices increase the risk of persistent inflation. They expect the rate to increase by 25 basis points in November and again by the same amount in February next year, the bank said in a statement. The previous forecast had assumed that it would remain unchanged until the beginning of the downward cycle in November 2027. ...
YESReuters94%match90¢+9%
Investors Price in 70% Chance of Bank of England Rate Hike in Nov (Tuesday: 60%)
YESdbws.io93%match84¢+17%
BofA expects Bank of England to hike rates twice, reverses previous no-hike call
YESReuters97%match84¢+17%
BofA Global Research Expects BoE to Hike Interest Rates by 25 Bp in November 2026 and February 2027 vs Prior Forecast of Rates Unchanged Until a Cut in November 2027
The market raises its inflation forecast for 2026 and anticipates another interest rate cut.
YEStheguardian.com93%match84¢+17%
Live: Investors expect the Bank of England to join the group of central bankers raising interest rates in November. A hike at the BoE’s next meeting, on 5 November, i
YESReuters98%match84¢+17%
RBC Capital Markets Expects BoE to Hike Bank Rates by 25 Bp in November 2026
YESlivesquawk97%match84¢+17%
UBS Global Research Expects BoE To Hike Bank Rates By 25 Bp Each In November 2026 And February 2027 Vs Prior Forecast Of Two Rate Cuts In February And April 2027
YESReuters97%match84¢+17%
UBS Global Research Expects BoE to Hike Bank Rates by 25 Bp Each in November 2026 and February 2027 vs Prior Forecast of Two Rate Cuts in February and April 2027
YESReuters95%match83¢+18%
Barclays Expects BoE to Hike Bank Rate by 25bp in November and by a Further 25bp in February 2027
YESnikkei.com92%match83¢+18%
Bank of England approaches reluctant interest rate hike as inflation rate could exceed 4%
YEStelegraph.co.uk92%match82¢+20%
Interest rate increase ‘likely’, warns Bank of England
YESft.com97%match82¢+20%
[UPDATE] Bank of England says rates likely to rise as it overhauls gilt sales (first reported at 2026-09-17T11:00:15Z)
NOnikkei.com95%match23¢-91%
[UPDATE] Bank of England keeps policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the sixth consecutive meeting (first reported at 2026-09-17T08:00:18.970576900Z)
YESzerohedge93%match76¢+29%
BoE Hold Masks A Sharper Bias Towards Tightening • • The Bank of England held the Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6–3 vote, as expected, but shifted closer to further tightening. Energy prices have risen sharply since July, lifting the Bank’s early-2027 inflation forecast above 4%, while stronger activity suggests economic slack may no longer be increasing. • • Although the MPC still sees little evidence of second-round effects in wages and prices, it now judges those risks to have grown and the inflation outlook to be more clearly tilted to the upside. Notably, several members who voted to hold said the case for raising rates is building if the conflict and energy shock persist. • • The decision should reinforce higher-for-longer expectations and leave a near-term hike firmly in play, supporting sterling and pressuring short-dated gilts. Separately, the Bank made quantitative tightening more predictable, committing to unwind its monetary-policy gilt portfolio by 2034 while maintaining £20 bn of annual sales.
NO47news.jp92%match19¢-89%
Bank of England maintains policy interest rate at 3.75% for the sixth consecutive meeting.
NO47news.jp92%match17¢-88%
★Bank of England maintains policy interest rate for the sixth consecutive meeting.
NOapnews.com93%match17¢-88%
[UPDATE] Bank of England is keeping its main interest rate at 3.75% despite higher inflation (first reported at 2026-09-17T05:04:42Z)
NONews91%match17¢-88%
*BANK OF ENGLAND HOLDS KEY INTEREST RATE AT 3.75% IN 6-3 VOTE
NOcnbc.com95%match17¢-88%
[UPDATE] Bank of England defies Fed’s rate-hike lead, leaving rates unchanged (first reported at 2026-09-17T05:20:23+0000)
NOBBC Reporter93%match17¢-88%
NEW • • Bank of England hold interest rates with a 6-3 vote. • • Says q3 growth will now be 0.4% • • - in a surprise move auctions of Government debt are paused, and the Bank has decided to hold on to its stock of long term debts, partly to back up total banknote issuance.
NOcls.cn92%match17¢-88%
Cailian Press, September 17th - The Bank of England kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75%, in line with market expectations.
YEStelegraph.co.uk92%match83¢+18%
Live: Bank of England to put ‘insurance hikes on the table’
NOnikkei92%match17¢-88%
Bank of England likely to keep policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the sixth consecutive meeting
NOnikkei.com93%match17¢-88%
The Bank of England is likely to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the sixth consecutive meeting.
NOcnbc92%match17¢-88%
Bank of England set to defy Fed’s rate-hike lead, despite rising inflation
NOcnbc.com92%match17¢-88%
Bank of England set to defy Fed’s rate-hike lead, despite rising inflation
YESReuters94%match76¢+29%
Citigroup Expects BoE to Hike Interest Rates by 25 Bps Each in Q4 2026 and Q1 2027 vs Prior Forecast of Rates on Hold Until Q2 2027
YESReuters97%match78¢+26%
Goldman Sachs Expects BoE to Hike Interest Rate by 25 Bp in November 2026 vs Prior Forecast of Rates Unchanged in 2026

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.