Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
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Market pricing makes Bank of England rate hike in 2026? the favorite at 30%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
23 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in 2026, Said 56 Out of 64 Economists
Bank of England’s Bailey: Expect Indirect Inflation Effects to Add 0.5 Percentage Points to Inflation in H2 2026
BoE Forecasts Unemployment Rate to Average 5.0% in 2026, 5.3% in 2027, 5.2% in 2028
BoE Central Forecast Based on Market Expectations for Energy Prices and Rate Which Shows One Quarter-Point Hike in Q4 and Another in 2027
Live: Bank of England rate hike expectations rise
TRADERS FULLY PRICE THREE QUARTER-POINT BOE RATE HIKES IN 2026
UK Interest Rate Futures Pricing in About 53 Bps of Bank of England Rate Hikes by End of 2026 vs 63 Bps When Market Opened
INVESTORS PRICE IN 73 BPS OF BANK OF ENGLAND INTEREST RATE HIKES IN 2026 (TUESDAY: 63 BPS) - OIS CURVE. ...
Investors price in 73 bps of Bank of England interest rate hikes in 2026 (Tuesday: 63 bps) - OIS Curve.
Investors Price in 73 Bps of Bank of England Interest Rate Hikes in 2026 (Tuesday: 63 Bps) - OIS Curve
Morgan Stanley now sees the Bank of England holding rates steady through 2026, shifting away from earlier expectations of rate cuts in April, November, and February 2027.
Morgan Stanley now sees the Bank of England holding rates steady through 2026, shifting away from earlier expectations of rate cuts in April, November, and February 2027.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. now expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates by 25 bps in April and July 2026, reversing its prior view of no rate changes this year.
Goldman Sachs expect Bank of England on hold for the rest of 2026 •
Goldman Sachs expects the Bank of England to remain on hold throughout 2026, revising its prior forecast of quarterly rate cuts starting in July.
Goldman Sachs expects the Bank of England to remain on hold throughout 2026, revising its prior forecast of quarterly rate cuts starting in July.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.