Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Open1as of
Market pricing makes Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? the favorite at 68%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Bank of Canada October Rate Hike Chances Fall to 27% From 40% on Jobs Report, Swap Market Data Shows
*MANULIFE SEES BANK OF CANADA HIKING IN OCTOBER AND DECEMBER
NOExpectativa do mercado é de que a inflação brasileira encerre o ano em 4,92%; PIB e Selic apresentaram queda nas projeções, indo para 1,88% e 13,50%, nesta ordem 93%match29¢+10%
The market raises its inflation forecast for 2026 and anticipates another interest rate cut.
Why BofA is going against the herd and calling for 2 more rate hikes in 2026
Odds of an interest rate hike from Bank of Canada this year have jumped
Central Bank analysts have raised their inflation forecast for 2026.
RPT-POLL-Bank of Canada to hold rates steady in 2026 as inflation risks appear contained
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.