Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Open$20Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 27% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES27¢
NO74¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Bank of Canada slashes 2026 growth forecast, lifts outlook for 2027/28
RPT-POLL-Bank of Canada to hold rates steady in 2026 as inflation risks appear contained
POLL-Bank of Canada to hold rates steady in 2026 as inflation risks appear contained
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.