Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
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Market pricing makes Harry Kane the favorite at 98% across 31 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Harry Kane98%
Lamine Yamal84%
Rodri66%
Lionel Messi33%
Luis Diaz18%
Fabian Ruiz14%
Declan Rice14%
Pau Cubarsi10%
Pedri8%
Vitinha7%
Raphinha5%
Rodrygo2%
All further outcomes (1 more):
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane was voted the 2026 player of the year in Germany by an association of sports journalists on Sunday, finishing ahead of teammate Michael Olise. •
Harry Kane received the 2026 Golden Boot at the Allianz Arena. He finished the season with 36 goals in 31 matches, surpassing Haaland (26) and Mbappé (25). This is his second time winning the award. Share #HarryKane #Bundesliga #teleSUR #Aug19
Rodri joins Barcelona Barcelona announced that Rodri, the best player of the 2026 World Cup and the winner of the 2024 Ballon d'Or, has joined the Blues.
@Farsna
What is this event about?
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No."
If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.
If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final five places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.