AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 6 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
WASHINGTON (AP) — Greg Stanton wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Arizona's 4th Congressional District
Decision Desk HQ projects Greg Stanton wins the AZ US House 4 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:02 PM EDT
In the 4th congressional district, incumbent Dem Rep. Greg Stanton faces a challenge from progressive challenger Kai Newkirk. • • Several Democratic legislators, as well as the Young Democrats of Arizona, recently withdrew their endorsement of Newkirk. • •
In the 4th congressional district, incumbent Dem Rep. Greg Stanton faces a challenge from progressive challenger Kai Newkirk. • • Several Democratic legislators, as well as the Young Democrats of Arizona, recently withdrew their endorsement of Newkirk. • •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.