Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
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Bab el-Mandeb crossings dropped to a lower baseline after the July 20 Houthi threat announcement, driven by falling Saudi-linked traffic. However, the rest of the corridor has held steady for two weeks at an average of 37 crossings per day (~22% below pre-announcement levels), showing non-Saudi traffic continues to move. • • Saudi-linked crossings fell to 0.86 crossings per day last week, the lowest yet, with zero crossings on 3 of 7 days. • • Follow for daily updates:
Bab el-Mandeb crossings dropped to a lower baseline after the July 20 Houthi threat announcement, driven by falling Saudi-linked traffic. However, the rest of the corridor has held steady for two weeks at an average of 37 crossings per day (~22% below pre-announcement levels), showing non-Saudi traffic continues to move. • • Saudi-linked crossings fell to 0.86 crossings per day last week, the lowest yet, with zero crossings on 3 of 7 days. • • Follow for daily updates:
Al Arabiya correspondent Ahmed Bajato: The head of Djibouti's ports confirms to Al Arabiya that maritime traffic in Bab al-Mandab has decreased by about half, leaving 6,000 sailors stranded. He believes the effects of the crisis will persist even after it ends.
Al Arabiya correspondent Ahmed Bajato: The head of Djibouti's ports confirms to Al Arabiya that maritime traffic in Bab al-Mandab has decreased by about half, leaving 6,000 sailors stranded. He believes the effects of the crisis will persist even after it ends.
Windward MIOC analysis: Bab el-Mandeb crossings fell 22% in six days. • • After Houthi forces threatened Saudi-linked vessels on 20 July, daily transits dropped from a 47.8 average to 37.2. Six days on, they haven't recovered. • • Pre-threat: 52, 56, 39, 56, 40, 44 crossings/day • Post-threat: 35, 40, 43, 34, 36, 35 crossings/day • • The baseline dropped and held for a week. No rebound. • • Track Bab el-Mandeb and Red Sea transits daily:
Shipping traffic through the Bab al-Mandab Strait has plummeted to its lowest levels following Houthi attacks. Ship traffic through the Bab al-Mandab Strait has seen a sharp decline in recent months. On Sunday, only 11 cargo ships transited the strait. Last week, after Yemen announced a naval blockade of Saudi ports, the number of ships dropped to 30 per day. Following the Houthi attack on two Saudi tankers, most companies have rerouted their vessels or postponed their Red Sea transits.
Shipping in the Red Sea slowed after attacks in Yemen, according to Saudi data. Ship traffic through the Bab al-Mandab Strait slowed over the weekend after Yemenis attacked Saudi oil tankers and threatened further attacks on ships linked to Saudi ports, according to Saudi shipping data reviewed by Reuters. Meanwhile, CNN data showed a sharp drop in traffic through the Strait of Hormuz to fewer than 10 commercial vessels over the weekend (compared to more than 100 ships per day under normal circumstances), as shipping companies reassessed security risks in the region. #AlMayadeen
Shipping traffic in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has fallen to its lowest level in recent months.
Yemeni blockade of Bab al-Mandab Reuters: Ship traffic through the Bab al-Mandab strait has fallen to its lowest level in months, with only 11 cargo ships passing through the waterway. The decline comes after Yemen's naval blockade of Saudi ports and heightened concerns among shipping companies.
Only 11 cargo ships passed through the Bab al-Mandab Strait on Sunday, the lowest number in months, Reuters reported, citing data from Kepler. The drop came after Yemen's Houthis attacked Saudi Arabia's oil facilities on the Red Sea coast. @ilnair
Reuters reported that only 11 cargo ships passed through the Bab al-Mandab Strait on Sunday, the lowest number in months, citing data from Kepler. The decline came after Yemen's Houthis attacked Saudi Arabia's oil facilities on the Red Sea coast.
Reuters: Eleven cargo ships passed through the Bab al-Mandab Strait on Sunday, the lowest number in months, data shows
Live: Unlikely to be a ‘massive reduction’ in maritime traffic through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait
Traffic volume in the Strait of Hormuz decreases, while traffic volume in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait increases.
Live: Crossings continue to fall in Strait of Hormuz, but rise in Bab el-Mandeb, data shows
Significant decrease in ship traffic in the Bab al-Mandab Strait The maritime data analysis platform "Kepler" announced that the number of ships passing through the Bab al-Mandab Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours. @ilnair
Significant decrease in ship traffic in the Bab al-Mandab Strait The maritime data analysis platform "Kepler" announced that the number of ships passing through the Bab al-Mandab Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
Significant decrease in ship traffic in the Bab al-Mandab Strait The maritime data analysis platform "Kepler" announced that the number of ships passing through the Bab al-Mandab Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
Kepler Maritime Database: Number of ships passing through Bab el-Mandeb Strait has dropped to 12 in the past 24 hours @IRIBNEWS_COM
FWD from Mehr International: Significant decrease in ship traffic in the Bab al-Mandab Strait The maritime data analysis platform "Kepler" announced that the number of ships passing through the Bab al-Mandab Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours. mehrnews.com/x3cDLj @MehrnewsIntl
FWD from Mehr International: Significant decrease in ship traffic in the Bab al-Mandab Strait The maritime data analysis platform "Kepler" announced that the number of ships passing through the Bab al-Mandab Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours. mehrnews.com/x3cDLj @MehrnewsIntl
FWD from Mehr International: Significant decrease in ship traffic in the Bab al-Mandab Strait The maritime data analysis platform "Kepler" announced that the number of ships passing through the Bab al-Mandab Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours. mehrnews.com/x3cDLj @MehrnewsIntl
Ship traffic in the Bab al-Mandab Strait decreased Maritime data shows that ship traffic in the Bab al-Mandab Strait has decreased to 12 ships in the past 24 hours. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
Kepler Maritime Database: The number of ships passing through the Bab al-Mandab Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours. @iribnews
Kepler shipping data site: The number of ships that crossed the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours.
Kepler shipping data site: The number of ships that crossed the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours.
Kepler shipping data site: The number of ships that crossed the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has decreased to 12 in the past 24 hours.
Traffic has already fallen to 41 vessels/day (vs. 72/day peak in 2023, -43%) • Bab el-Mandeb crude loadings dropped 34% in just 2 weeks. @Kpler #OOTT
Live: A Houthi maritime blockade on Saudi Arabia in the Red Sea could affect more than 3 percent of the global oil market. The Bab al-Mandeb Strait, a wateway at the southern end of the Red Sea, is not usually a critical chokepoint for oil. But Saudi Arabia has been leaning on it heavily since the start of the war with Iran because it is an alternative to the Strait of Hormuz. The country has been exporting more than 3.6 million barrels of oil and related fuels a day via Bab al-Mandeb in recent months, most of it to Asia, according to maritime data firm Kpler. Top destinations include South Korea, Japan and China.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for July 31, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.