Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
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Market pricing makes Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? the favorite at 92%, as of .
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The market debut of Anthropic, maker of the Claude AI models, could break the record set by SpaceX, US media reported. • Elon Musk's space firm went public in June at a value of $1.77 trillion and raised $85.7 billion in its initial public offering. •
While OpenAI Stags... Antropic Emerges as a Major IPO Candidate [Global Morning Briefing]
Anthropic Considers ‘Largest IPO Ever’ Surpassing SpaceX… Valuation Overtakes OpenAI
Anthropic surpassed OpenAI in quarterly revenue for the first time, earning almost twice as much, writes The Wall Street Journal. Compared to the first quarter, OpenAI increased its revenue by 18% to $6.7 billion. However, along with revenue, losses also increased: the company's operating loss grew from $9.3 billion to $12.3 billion. Anthropic, in turn, more than doubled its quarterly revenue to $11.6 billion and reported a "small operating profit" to investors for the first time. It is noted that one of the key drivers of growth was the Claude Code programming service. At the same time, according to The Wall Street Journal, OpenAI is restructuring its business strategy and updating its leadership. More IZ RU news in MAX
OPENAI'S REVENUE GREW 18% LAST QUARTER. ANTHROPIC MORE THAN DOUBLED ITS OWN AND OVERTOOK OPENAI FOR THE FIRST TIME • • OpenAI's revenue grew to $6.7 billion in the quarter ended June, up from $5.7 billion in Q1 • • Anthropic's revenue more than doubled to $11.6 billion over the same period, the first time it's surpassed OpenAI. Anthropic also swung to a small operating profit - WSJ
Anthropic Revenue Run Rate Hits $65 Billion. The Claude Maker Is Outpacing OpenAI Ahead of Its IPO.. • Anthropic filed its prospectus with the SEC in June and has since begun preliminary meetings with potential investors.
Anthropic Eyes $2 Trillion Valuation in October IPO: Is the AI Investment Boom Entering Bubble Territory?. • Introduction Anthropic’s projected October 2026 IPO could value the Claude AI maker at $2 trillion or more, potentially the larg
$11.5 billion in revenue in one quarter: Anthropic has multiplied its revenue by 14 in one year (and now surpasses OpenAI)
$11.5 billion in revenue in one quarter: Anthropic has multiplied its revenue by 14 in one year (and now surpasses OpenAI)
Anthropic IPO Will Put The AI Boom To Its Biggest Test Yet. • Anthropic IPO could test whether AI’s explosive growth can justify a possible $2 trillion valuation as investors focus on margins, competition and returns.
Anthropic could eclipse SpaceX with $2trn valuation
OpenAI, lagging behind Antropic, sees investor sentiment recover in OTC market
Anthropic’s $1.2T secondary valuation jumps 550% in a year, overtaking OpenAI
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.
Public market capitalization will be determined using the final official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for the specified date or the most recent trading day, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation and applicable public market capitalization achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates) and here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If Anthropic's valuation is equal to OpenAI's valuation at resolution, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.