Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Resolved1as of
This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
*ANTHROPIC IN TALKS WITH INVESTORS TO RAISE FUNDS AT $900 BILLION VALUATION, HIGHER THAN OPENAI - CNBC • • *OPENAI PREVIOUSLY ACHIEVED AN $852 BILLION VALUATION IN ITS MARCH FUNDING ROUND ...
*ANTHROPIC IN TALKS WITH INVESTORS TO RAISE FUNDS AT $900 BILLION VALUATION, HIGHER THAN OPENAI - CNBC • • *OPENAI PREVIOUSLY ACHIEVED AN $852 BILLION VALUATION IN ITS MARCH FUNDING ROUND
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.