Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5

OpenOutcomes4as of

Market pricing makes August 31 the favorite at 49% across 4 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

July 31livesquawk98%match95¢+5%
Beginning July 20, Claude Fable 5 will be included in all Max and Team Premium plans, at 50% of limits. • • Pro and Team Standard users will continue to have access to Fable via usage credits, and will receive a one-time $100 credit. • • Demand for Fable has been challenging to predict, which is why we rolled it out to subscription plans in stages, extending access several times as we secured additional capacity.
July 31chosun.com94%match97¢+3%
Anthropic Changes Fable 5 Pricing Policy Again... No Additional Costs on 150,000 Won Monthly Plan
July 19claudeai97%match91¢+10%
Beginning July 20, Claude Fable 5 will be included in all Max and Team Premium plans, at 50% of limits. • • Pro and Team Standard users will continue to have access to Fable via usage credits, and will receive a one-time $100 credit. • • Demand for Fable has been challenging to predict, which is why we rolled it out to subscription plans in stages, extending access several times as we secured additional capacity.
July 31claudeai98%match64¢+56%
Beginning July 20, Claude Fable 5 will be included in all Max and Team Premium plans, at 50% of limits. • • Pro and Team Standard users will continue to have access to Fable via usage credits, and will receive a one-time $100 credit. • • Demand for Fable has been challenging to predict, which is why we rolled it out to subscription plans in stages, extending access several times as we secured additional capacity.

What is this event about?

On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic removes access to "Claude Fable 5" from qualifying paid plans by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying removal requires Fable 5 to no longer be included within standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on all of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. Moving Fable 5 to usage-credit-only access on all paid plans will qualify. Removing included access only from some of these plans will not qualify. Access through the Enterprise plan will not be considered. Announcements alone will not qualify. Qualifying paid-plan access must actually be removed by the listed date. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as Fable 5 remains available within the included allowance. Reducing the percentage cap, without fully removing included access, will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related events