Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5July 31
ResolvedOutcome: No$18Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Beginning July 20, Claude Fable 5 will be included in all Max and Team Premium plans, at 50% of limits. • • Pro and Team Standard users will continue to have access to Fable via usage credits, and will receive a one-time $100 credit. • • Demand for Fable has been challenging to predict, which is why we rolled it out to subscription plans in stages, extending access several times as we secured additional capacity.
Anthropic Changes Fable 5 Pricing Policy Again... No Additional Costs on 150,000 Won Monthly Plan
Beginning July 20, Claude Fable 5 will be included in all Max and Team Premium plans, at 50% of limits. • • Pro and Team Standard users will continue to have access to Fable via usage credits, and will receive a one-time $100 credit. • • Demand for Fable has been challenging to predict, which is why we rolled it out to subscription plans in stages, extending access several times as we secured additional capacity.
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic removes access to "Claude Fable 5" from qualifying paid plans by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying removal requires Fable 5 to no longer be included within standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on all of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. Moving Fable 5 to usage-credit-only access on all paid plans will qualify. Removing included access only from some of these plans will not qualify. Access through the Enterprise plan will not be considered.
Announcements alone will not qualify. Qualifying paid-plan access must actually be removed by the listed date.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as Fable 5 remains available within the included allowance. Reducing the percentage cap, without fully removing included access, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.