Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia

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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 10% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

June 30investinglive_99%match94¢+6%
Australian PM Albanese says that 80% of diesel production and 80% of aviation fuel production continuing at Viva Energy’s Geelong refinery after fire
December 31First Squawk99%match80¢+13%
AUSTRALIA PRIME MINISTER ANTHONY ALBANESE - SUPPORT THE U.S. ACTING TO PREVENT IRAN FROM OBTAINING NUCLEAR WEAPON, TO PREVENT IRAN CONTINUING TO THREATEN INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
December 31CGTN Europe99%match80¢+13%
AUSTRALIA PRIME MINISTER ANTHONY ALBANESE: SUPPORT THE U.S. ACTING TO PREVENT IRAN FROM OBTAINING NUCLEAR WEAPON, TO PREVENT IRAN CONTINUING TO THREATEN INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
December 31The Economist99%match29¢-66%
The prime minister, Anthony Albanese, is under most pressure

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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