Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
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Market pricing makes Another US debt downgrade before 2027? the favorite at 10%, as of .
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17 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Fitch On Global Credit Risk Outlook: Major uncertainties related to US tariffs & trade policy, sustainability of market & funding conditions remain.
FITCH ON GLOBAL CREDIT RISK OUTLOOK: MAJOR UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN AROUND U.S. TARIFFS AND TRADE POLICY, AS WELL AS THE SUSTAINABILITY OF MARKET AND FUNDING CONDITIONS.
FITCH: MAJOR UNCERTAINTIES FROM GEOPOLITICAL RISKS AND FISCAL/ECONOMIC POLICY VOLATILITY PERSIST IN THE GLOBAL CREDIT OUTLOOK.
FITCH: GLOBAL CREDIT RISK ENVIRONMENT REMAINS HIGH DESPITE BROAD CREDIT RESILIENCE IN 2025 AND A GENERALLY BENIGN BASE-CASE OUTLOOK FOR 2026.
Fitch Ratings: Global credit risk environment remains high, despite broad credit resilience in 2025 & a generally benign base-case outlook for 2026.
Fitch Ratings: Benign credit outlook faces big tests in 2026.
S&P on US credit conditions: policy risk remains following US tariff ruling S&P on US Credit Conditions: We don't expect a substantial impact on our ratings outlook.
S&P ON U.S. CREDIT CONDITIONS: DOES NOT EXPECT A SUBSTANTIAL IMPACT ON ITS RATINGS OUTLOOK.
FITCH ON U.S.: EXPECTS CONGRESS TO SHOW LIMITED APPETITE FOR FISCAL CONSOLIDATION IN FY27 APPROPRIATIONS AHEAD OF NOVEMBER 2026 MIDTERM ELECTIONS.
FITCH ON U.S.: EXPECTS DEFICITS TO REMAIN ELEVATED AND SEES RISKS TO ITS BASELINE PROJECTIONS.
US public debt to hit $64 trillion by 2036, up $2.4 trillion every year from $39 trillion today (CBO via BofA)
Ray Dalio Says America's Wealth-To-Money Ratio Mirrors 1929 Crash Levels: 'Wealth Isn't Worth Anything Unless…'
THE U.S. CONSUMER IS SHOWING INCREASING SIGNS OF STRESS. 12.7% OF CREDIT CARD BALANCES ARE 90+ DAYS DELINQUENT, THE HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 2011.
CHINA CONTINUES TO AGGRESSIVELY SELL U.S. TREASURIES.
US DEBT RATING STABLE, SECOND DOWNGRADE UNLIKELY – FITCH Fitch says a second U.S. credit downgrade is unlikely soon, as the 2023 cut to AA+ already reflects current fiscal pressures. The stable outlook means no downgrade is expected in the next one to two years, with the…
JUST IN: Major Northern European investors are reevaluating their exposure to U.S. assets amid growing risks from geopolitical tensions, rising debt levels, and policy uncertainty, per Reuters
North European Pension Chiefs: Risk premium attached to holding US assets has gone up due to debt worries, geopolitics.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.