2nd richest person on December 31?
Open37as of
Market pricing makes Sergey Brin the favorite at 34% across 37 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Sergey Brin34%
Jeff Bezos24%
All further outcomes (7 more):
Jensen Huang · Steve Ballmer · Larry Page · Person D · Person I · Person S · Person W
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Despite his fortune declining by more than $600 billion, Elon Musk remains the world's richest person.
There is a 19% chance that Mark Zuckerberg ends 2026 as the 2nd richest person in the world according to Polymarket traders
Hopefully Warren Buffett is enough to fight off Inverse Cramer • •
RT @Benzinga: Elon Musk has widened his lead as the world’s richest person in 2026, even as other top billionaires have seen their fortunes…
Elon Musk has widened his lead as the world’s richest person in 2026, even as other top billionaires have seen their fortunes shrink. While the top 10 collectively lost more than $45 billion this year, Musk’s net worth has climbed sharply. According to Bloomberg estimates, Elon…
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.