#1 Box Office This Weekend?

ResolvedOutcomes8as of

This hub tracks 8 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

[UPDATE] One demographic helped propel $19.2M box office for ‘Primetime’ (first reported at 2026-09-28T16:22:41.029843800Z)
Re-released 'Avengers: Endgame' snaps-up N. America box office lead
‘Avengers Endgame: Encore’ Opens No. 1 as Marvel Studios Crosses $35 Billion Globally at the Box Office
'Avengers: Endgame' retakes box office crown; Robert Pattinson drives sales for 'Primetime'
Primetimeapnews.com92%match100¢
'Avengers: Endgame' retakes box office crown; Robert Pattinson drives sales for 'Primetime'
The Avengers re-release has surpassed all new releases in the US and Canada in terms of box office receipts.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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