Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? Odds jumped to 36% on Jul 9, 2026

OpenMove

Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 26.1¢ to 36.3¢ (+10.2 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from alarabiya_bn.

How did the odds move?

At match26.1¢
+5m26.2¢
+30m40.8¢
+1h36.3¢
+24h24.9¢
1h move+10.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesalarabiya_bn99%match
The International Monetary Fund predicts global economic growth of 3% in 2026 #Arabic_Business

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 28% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES28¢
NO72¢

Vol$5K

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Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for 2026 World GDP Growth — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.