Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July? Odds fell to 17% on Jul 17, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July? On , the market’s odds fell from 34.3¢ to 17.4¢ (-16.8 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from dbnews. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match34.3¢
+5m33.1¢
+30m21.7¢
+1h17.4¢
+24h14.1¢
1h move-16.8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 17, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 34.3¢ → 17.4¢-16.8 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 34.3¢ → 17.4¢-16.8 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 34.3¢ → 17.4¢-16.8 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 34.2¢ → 17.4¢-16.7 ptsafter a signal from News
  • 34.1¢ → 17.6¢-16.5 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk
  • 34.1¢ → 17.6¢-16.5 ptsafter a signal from News
  • 34.1¢ → 17.6¢-16.5 ptsafter a signal from marketnews_feed
  • 34.1¢ → 17.6¢-16.5 ptsafter a signal from zerohedge
  • 33¢ → 17.2¢-15.7 ptsafter a signal from ifre.com

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Nodbnews97%match
*MICHIGAN PRELIM. JULY CONSUMER SENTIMENT AT 54.4; EST. 51.0
NoNews98%match
*UMICH PRELIM JULY CONSUMER SENTIMENT RISES TO 54.4; EST. 51

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$5K

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Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.